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Nothing But Bet · scheme lookup

Man vs
zone

Find the players and offenses whose receiving production changed most by coverage family, then identify the defenses whose usage sat farthest from the FBS median.

Qualified players
268
50+ man · 50+ zone routes
Qualified offenses
122
2+ receivers
Defense population
136
28.6% median man rate
Measured season
2025
Regular season · weeks 0–16
01 · player dependence

Largest man-zone production gaps

Qualified receiving players ranked by the absolute difference in yards per route run.

268of 268
RankPlayerTeamScoreBetter vsMan YPRRZone YPRRGapRoutes M/Z
1Charlie BeckerWRIndiana100.0man5.001.833.1770/104
2Asaad WaseemWR · measured at Florida AtlanticPurdue99.6man3.651.312.3477/239
3Josiah FreemanWRFresno State99.3man3.491.182.31102/168
4Jacquon GibsonWR · measured at MassachusettsVirginia98.9zone0.752.952.2053/190
5Micahi DanzyWRFlorida State98.5zone0.262.452.1950/178
6Danny ScuderoWR · measured at San José StateColorado98.1man4.452.272.18116/273
7Houston ThomasTE · measured at UTSATexas A&M97.8zone0.372.422.0563/100
8Anthony Brown-StephensWRTulane97.4zone0.332.372.0455/185
9Carlos HernandezWRWake Forest97.0zone0.872.872.0052/192
10Nahzae CoxWR · measured at Middle TennesseeKansas96.6man2.760.762.00102/187
11Peter ClarkeTETemple96.3zone1.022.991.9751/114
12Terrell AndersonWR · measured at NC StateUSC95.9man3.481.551.9386/157
13Caleb GoodieWR · measured at CincinnatiMissouri95.3zone0.172.091.9284/178
14Nyck HarborWRSouth Carolina95.3zone0.942.861.9269/186
15Jamari JohnsonTEOregon94.8man3.781.861.9250/121
16Trey'Dez GreenTELSU94.4man3.151.261.8965/155
17Eli FinleyTELouisiana Tech94.0man3.391.561.8351/140
18Donovan BrownWRSan Diego State93.6zone0.702.421.7293/170
19Emmett Mosley VWRTexas93.3zone0.672.381.7152/128
20Vandrevius JacobsWR · measured at South CarolinaMiami92.9zone0.682.331.6575/180
21Kenny OdomWR · measured at UTEPSouth Florida92.5man3.291.651.6463/214
22Dominique HenryWRFlorida Atlantic92.1man2.570.931.6496/291
23Chase HendricksWR · measured at OhioCalifornia91.8man3.972.361.61112/220
24Junior SherrillWRVanderbilt91.4zone1.042.651.61102/231
25Tre' BrownWR · measured at Old DominionLSU91.0zone1.362.931.5766/203
26Ryan WingoWRTexas90.6zone1.432.991.5680/218
27Rico Flores Jr.WR · measured at UCLAVirginia90.3zone0.111.671.5665/130
28Chris ReedWRSam Houston89.9man2.831.291.5488/121
29Chris MarshallWR · measured at Boise StateArkansas89.5man2.971.461.51106/177
30Coy EakinWRTexas Tech89.1zone0.782.291.51117/216
31Cam'ron LacyWRMiddle Tennessee88.8zone1.893.351.4656/116
32Amorion WalkerWR · measured at Middle TennesseeUNLV88.4man2.040.611.4356/114
33Hardley Gilmore IVWRKentucky88.0man2.220.801.4255/153
34David Amador IIWRUTSA87.6zone0.922.341.4264/149
35Chris Dawn Jr.WRTexas State87.3zone1.873.281.4195/220
36Christian MossWR · measured at Kennesaw StateWashington86.9zone0.702.101.4099/242
37Keshaun SingletonWR · measured at South FloridaAuburn86.5man3.392.051.3475/227
38DeAndre Moore Jr.WR · measured at TexasColorado86.1zone1.172.491.3264/159
39Jeremiah SmithWROhio State85.8zone2.583.901.3265/231
40Deondre JohnsonWRJacksonville State85.4zone1.162.461.3085/223
41Lawayne McCoyWR · measured at Florida StateLouisville85.0zone0.451.741.2955/167
42Clayton Coppock Jr.WR · measured at Kennesaw StateCoastal Carolina84.6zone0.591.861.2754/145
43Ayden WilliamsWRMississippi State84.3zone0.001.241.2473/200
44DeAngelo Irvin Jr.WRUNLV83.9zone0.161.391.2367/114
45Landon EllisWR · measured at James MadisonUCLA83.5zone1.632.851.2263/158
46Armani WinfieldWR · measured at Colorado StateSouth Florida83.1zone0.521.731.2162/128
47Shazz PrestonWR · measured at TulaneIndiana82.8zone1.432.621.1967/188
48Taz ReddicksWR · measured at Oregon StateUNLV82.4zone1.132.321.1962/114
49Anthony GarciaWRUtah State82.0zone0.661.841.1864/146
50Javen NicholasWR · measured at CharlotteDuke81.3man2.531.381.1570/233
51Nik McMillanWR · measured at BuffaloKansas81.3man3.021.871.15125/239
52Reed HarrisWR · measured at Boston CollegeArizona State81.3zone0.641.791.15128/296
53Lotzeir BrooksWRAlabama80.3man2.871.731.1453/154
54Mike MatthewsWRTennessee80.3zone1.152.291.1479/293
55Donovan OlugbodeWRMissouri79.8man2.821.681.1455/116
56Garrett OakleyTEKansas State79.4zone1.092.221.1354/148
57Makai CopeWRMissouri State79.0man2.080.961.1279/96
58JJ BuchananWR · measured at UtahMichigan78.5man2.341.221.1259/169
59Wayne HarrisWRKent State78.5zone0.761.881.1263/147
60Kyle McNealWRFlorida International77.9zone0.371.471.1057/180
02 · offense dependence

Most coverage-sensitive pass-catching groups

Team score is the percentile of the sample-weighted man-zone YPRR gap across qualifying players.

122of 122
RankOffenseScoreBetter vsWeighted YPRR gapQualified playersSplit routes
1South Carolina100.0zone1.782510
2Tulane99.2zone1.572495
3Georgia98.3man1.403689
4UAB97.5man1.362557
5Indiana96.7zone1.3251,258
6Florida Atlantic95.9man1.2341,540
7Florida State95.0zone1.194947
8Cincinnati94.2zone1.1051,119
9UTSA93.4zone1.1061,163
10Oklahoma92.6man1.0841,232
11LSU91.7man1.084939
12UTEP90.9man1.073785
13Louisiana Tech90.1man1.062424
14Wake Forest89.3zone1.043737
15NC State88.4zone1.0461,423
16East Carolina87.6zone1.033810
17Fresno State86.8man1.024841
18Texas86.0zone1.0151,211
19Memphis85.1man1.013721
20Oregon84.3zone0.994914
21Ohio83.5man0.983830
22Kennesaw State82.6zone0.9651,296
23Washington81.8man0.9651,303
24Kentucky81.0man0.962469
25Southern Miss80.2zone0.9241,033
26Charlotte79.3man0.922532
27San José State78.5man0.9141,416
28Texas State77.7zone0.8851,284
29South Florida76.9man0.872525
30Kansas76.0man0.874847
31Arkansas75.2zone0.8651,323
32Old Dominion74.4zone0.863857
33Tennessee73.6zone0.8631,077
34North Carolina72.7zone0.852591
35Coastal Carolina71.9man0.852408
36Boise State71.1man0.8351,394
37Michigan State70.2zone0.8341,157
38Utah69.4zone0.823703
39Akron68.6zone0.804883
40Middle Tennessee67.8man0.7971,728
41Nevada66.9zone0.793568
42Vanderbilt66.1zone0.7851,331
43Ball State65.3man0.783646
44Ohio State64.5zone0.763762
45BYU63.6zone0.7441,017
46Texas Tech62.8zone0.7341,382
47Kent State62.0zone0.732403
48South Alabama61.2man0.722459
49TCU60.3zone0.7041,191
50Houston59.5man0.7051,234
51Buffalo58.7man0.7031,031
52USC57.9zone0.693828
53Colorado57.0man0.6941,037
54Missouri State56.2zone0.6971,655
55Syracuse55.4zone0.673959
56North Texas54.5man0.6741,136
57Ole Miss53.7zone0.6661,734
58Massachusetts52.9zone0.663746
59Florida International52.1zone0.654992
60Troy51.2man0.6451,319
61Toledo50.4zone0.643816
62UNLV49.6man0.634920
63Northwestern48.8zone0.633789
64Notre Dame47.9zone0.623682
65California47.1zone0.6151,493
66Alabama46.3zone0.6151,556
67SMU45.5zone0.6041,251
68New Mexico44.6zone0.5941,063
69Oregon State43.8zone0.5951,224
70Utah State43.0zone0.5851,413
71James Madison42.1zone0.583710
72Virginia41.3zone0.5851,428
73West Virginia40.5zone0.583700
74UCLA39.7zone0.5751,258
75Nebraska38.8zone0.5751,291
76Boston College38.0zone0.5651,584
77Pittsburgh37.2zone0.5541,270
78Georgia State36.4zone0.533764
79Northern Illinois35.5zone0.532424
80Sam Houston34.7man0.5251,112
81Hawai'i33.9man0.5161,712
82Mississippi State33.1zone0.5141,265
83Jacksonville State32.2zone0.5151,358
84Purdue31.4man0.503855
85Western Kentucky30.6zone0.503843
86Kansas State29.8zone0.503682
87Auburn28.9zone0.502631
88Temple28.1zone0.494994
89Maryland27.3zone0.4961,773
90Penn State26.4zone0.493690
91Wyoming25.6zone0.492410
92Louisville24.8man0.482649
93Delaware24.0zone0.4861,589
94Arkansas State23.1zone0.4841,447
95Marshall22.3man0.4741,043
96Miami (OH)21.5man0.4741,101
97New Mexico State20.7zone0.4551,293
98Clemson19.8man0.4551,179
99Colorado State19.0zone0.4551,121
100Baylor18.2zone0.4541,467
101App State17.4zone0.4551,207
102Eastern Michigan16.5zone0.443770
103Florida15.7zone0.443754
104Missouri14.9zone0.4451,104
105Duke14.0zone0.4351,600
106Louisiana13.2man0.434787
107Texas A&M12.4zone0.4241,031
108Georgia Southern11.6man0.4141,230
109Georgia Tech10.7man0.392510
110Rutgers9.9man0.3741,249
111Arizona State9.1man0.3651,338
112Oklahoma State8.3man0.333716
113Western Michigan7.4zone0.324831
114Liberty6.6zone0.323540
115Minnesota5.8man0.304918
116Stanford5.0man0.2941,253
117UConn4.1man0.2851,146
118Illinois3.3zone0.253814
119UCF2.5zone0.244950
120Miami1.7zone0.2231,085
121Washington State0.8zone0.223772
122Arizona0.0zone0.1951,187
03 · defensive outliers

Farthest from the man-zone median

Outlier score ranks absolute distance from the sport’s qualified median coverage mix.

136of 136
RankDefenseScoreOrientationManZoneFrom medianSample
1Colorado State100.0man-heavy67.1%32.9%38.5 pts1,685 player-snaps
2Utah99.3man-heavy59.0%41.0%30.4 pts2,809 player-snaps
3Eastern Michigan98.5man-heavy56.9%43.1%28.3 pts1,903 player-snaps
4Louisiana Tech97.8man-heavy54.6%45.4%26.0 pts2,899 player-snaps
5Notre Dame97.0man-heavy54.4%45.6%25.8 pts3,397 player-snaps
6Wyoming96.3man-heavy51.7%48.3%23.0 pts2,269 player-snaps
7Colorado95.6man-heavy50.7%49.3%22.0 pts2,361 player-snaps
8Pittsburgh94.8zone-heavy7.3%92.7%21.3 pts2,780 player-snaps
9East Carolina94.1zone-heavy7.7%92.3%20.9 pts2,996 player-snaps
10Indiana93.3zone-heavy8.7%91.3%19.9 pts3,121 player-snaps
11Ohio92.6zone-heavy8.8%91.2%19.8 pts2,330 player-snaps
12Rutgers91.9man-heavy47.9%52.1%19.3 pts2,130 player-snaps
13Boise State91.1man-heavy47.6%52.4%19.0 pts2,806 player-snaps
14Army90.4zone-heavy10.2%89.8%18.4 pts1,953 player-snaps
15Navy89.6zone-heavy10.9%89.1%17.7 pts2,599 player-snaps
16Florida88.9zone-heavy11.4%88.6%17.2 pts2,195 player-snaps
17Arizona88.1man-heavy45.0%55.0%16.4 pts2,570 player-snaps
18Boston College87.4man-heavy44.8%55.2%16.2 pts2,565 player-snaps
19Arkansas State86.7zone-heavy12.6%87.4%16.0 pts2,798 player-snaps
20Missouri State85.9zone-heavy12.9%87.1%15.7 pts2,983 player-snaps
21James Madison85.2man-heavy43.7%56.3%15.1 pts3,051 player-snaps
22Cincinnati84.4zone-heavy13.9%86.1%14.8 pts3,010 player-snaps
23North Carolina83.7man-heavy43.2%56.8%14.6 pts3,019 player-snaps
24South Alabama83.0zone-heavy14.1%85.9%14.5 pts2,223 player-snaps
25TCU82.2zone-heavy14.4%85.6%14.2 pts3,022 player-snaps
26Clemson81.5man-heavy42.8%57.2%14.2 pts3,344 player-snaps
27LSU80.7man-heavy42.6%57.4%14.0 pts2,850 player-snaps
28UCLA80.0man-heavy42.6%57.4%14.0 pts2,328 player-snaps
29Texas State79.3man-heavy42.2%57.8%13.6 pts2,672 player-snaps
30Kentucky78.5zone-heavy15.1%84.9%13.6 pts2,405 player-snaps
31New Mexico77.8zone-heavy15.3%84.7%13.3 pts2,707 player-snaps
32Nebraska77.0man-heavy41.7%58.3%13.1 pts2,432 player-snaps
33Coastal Carolina76.3zone-heavy15.6%84.4%13.0 pts2,336 player-snaps
34Washington75.6man-heavy41.4%58.6%12.8 pts3,331 player-snaps
35Minnesota74.8man-heavy41.3%58.7%12.7 pts2,796 player-snaps
36South Florida74.1zone-heavy16.0%84.0%12.6 pts3,720 player-snaps
37USC73.3man-heavy41.1%58.9%12.4 pts2,862 player-snaps
38UTSA72.6zone-heavy16.6%83.4%12.0 pts2,759 player-snaps
39San José State71.9zone-heavy16.6%83.4%12.0 pts2,310 player-snaps
40Virginia Tech71.1zone-heavy16.7%83.3%11.9 pts2,265 player-snaps
41Ball State70.4zone-heavy16.7%83.3%11.9 pts2,523 player-snaps
42Wisconsin69.6zone-heavy16.9%83.1%11.7 pts2,482 player-snaps
43UNLV68.9man-heavy40.0%60.0%11.4 pts3,288 player-snaps
44New Mexico State68.1zone-heavy17.7%82.3%10.9 pts2,771 player-snaps
45Penn State67.4man-heavy39.1%60.9%10.5 pts2,415 player-snaps
46Auburn66.7man-heavy39.0%61.0%10.4 pts2,619 player-snaps
47Nevada65.9zone-heavy18.2%81.8%10.4 pts2,440 player-snaps
48Fresno State65.2man-heavy38.8%61.2%10.2 pts2,961 player-snaps
49Sam Houston64.4man-heavy38.0%62.0%9.4 pts2,516 player-snaps
50Louisville63.7zone-heavy19.3%80.7%9.3 pts2,995 player-snaps
51Iowa State63.0zone-heavy19.4%80.6%9.2 pts2,549 player-snaps
52Alabama62.2zone-heavy19.4%80.6%9.2 pts3,297 player-snaps
53Tulane61.5man-heavy37.6%62.4%9.0 pts2,949 player-snaps
54Western Kentucky60.7man-heavy37.5%62.5%8.9 pts3,519 player-snaps
55UCF60.0man-heavy37.5%62.5%8.9 pts2,621 player-snaps
56Akron59.3zone-heavy19.9%80.1%8.7 pts2,415 player-snaps
57Wake Forest58.5zone-heavy20.0%80.0%8.6 pts3,286 player-snaps
58Marshall57.8man-heavy37.1%62.9%8.5 pts2,537 player-snaps
59Ole Miss57.0zone-heavy20.1%79.9%8.5 pts3,693 player-snaps
60Duke56.3man-heavy37.0%63.0%8.4 pts3,425 player-snaps
61Old Dominion55.6zone-heavy20.5%79.5%8.2 pts2,977 player-snaps
62West Virginia54.8zone-heavy20.5%79.5%8.1 pts2,579 player-snaps
63Troy54.1zone-heavy20.6%79.4%8.0 pts2,373 player-snaps
64Virginia53.3man-heavy36.6%63.4%8.0 pts2,697 player-snaps
65Tulsa52.6zone-heavy20.7%79.3%7.9 pts2,326 player-snaps
66Liberty51.9man-heavy36.3%63.7%7.7 pts2,608 player-snaps
67Kent State51.1man-heavy36.3%63.7%7.7 pts2,440 player-snaps
68Illinois50.4man-heavy36.2%63.8%7.5 pts3,051 player-snaps
69Arkansas49.6man-heavy36.1%63.9%7.5 pts2,333 player-snaps
70Arizona State48.9zone-heavy21.2%78.8%7.4 pts3,246 player-snaps
71Middle Tennessee48.1man-heavy36.0%64.0%7.4 pts2,803 player-snaps
72BYU47.4man-heavy35.7%64.3%7.1 pts3,130 player-snaps
73Syracuse46.7man-heavy35.6%64.4%7.0 pts2,748 player-snaps
74North Texas45.9man-heavy35.5%64.5%6.9 pts2,715 player-snaps
75Charlotte45.2zone-heavy21.8%78.2%6.8 pts2,698 player-snaps
76Iowa44.4zone-heavy21.8%78.2%6.8 pts2,519 player-snaps
77Texas Tech43.7zone-heavy22.0%78.0%6.6 pts2,935 player-snaps
78Air Force43.0zone-heavy22.0%78.0%6.6 pts2,127 player-snaps
79Ohio State42.2man-heavy35.1%64.9%6.5 pts2,547 player-snaps
80Central Michigan41.5man-heavy34.9%65.1%6.3 pts2,610 player-snaps
81Houston40.7zone-heavy22.6%77.4%6.0 pts2,760 player-snaps
82App State40.0man-heavy34.6%65.4%6.0 pts3,050 player-snaps
83Kennesaw State39.3zone-heavy22.8%77.2%5.8 pts2,926 player-snaps
84South Carolina38.5man-heavy34.4%65.6%5.8 pts2,636 player-snaps
85Oregon State37.8man-heavy34.3%65.7%5.7 pts2,462 player-snaps
86Hawai'i37.0zone-heavy23.2%76.8%5.4 pts2,967 player-snaps
87Georgia State36.3man-heavy33.6%66.4%5.0 pts2,423 player-snaps
88Southern Miss35.6zone-heavy23.7%76.3%4.9 pts3,043 player-snaps
89Maryland34.8man-heavy33.5%66.5%4.9 pts2,918 player-snaps
90Baylor34.1man-heavy33.4%66.6%4.8 pts2,490 player-snaps
91Miami (OH)33.3man-heavy33.4%66.6%4.8 pts3,227 player-snaps
92Oregon32.6man-heavy33.2%66.8%4.6 pts3,133 player-snaps
93Louisiana31.9zone-heavy24.1%75.9%4.5 pts2,799 player-snaps
94San Diego State31.1zone-heavy24.1%75.9%4.5 pts3,178 player-snaps
95Kansas30.4man-heavy33.0%67.0%4.4 pts2,184 player-snaps
96Michigan State29.6zone-heavy24.2%75.8%4.4 pts2,297 player-snaps
97Northwestern28.9zone-heavy24.3%75.7%4.3 pts2,402 player-snaps
98Oklahoma28.1zone-heavy24.3%75.7%4.3 pts2,832 player-snaps
99Temple27.4man-heavy32.7%67.3%4.1 pts2,209 player-snaps
100Washington State26.7man-heavy32.1%67.9%3.5 pts2,067 player-snaps
101Delaware25.9zone-heavy25.4%74.6%3.2 pts2,740 player-snaps
102Northern Illinois25.2zone-heavy25.5%74.5%3.1 pts2,212 player-snaps
103Tennessee24.4zone-heavy25.6%74.4%3.1 pts3,158 player-snaps
104California23.7man-heavy31.6%68.4%3.0 pts3,175 player-snaps
105Miami23.0zone-heavy25.7%74.3%2.9 pts3,683 player-snaps
106SMU22.2zone-heavy25.8%74.2%2.9 pts3,988 player-snaps
107Georgia Southern21.5zone-heavy25.8%74.2%2.8 pts2,854 player-snaps
108Stanford20.7man-heavy31.2%68.8%2.6 pts2,923 player-snaps
109Jacksonville State20.0man-heavy31.2%68.8%2.6 pts3,411 player-snaps
110Georgia Tech19.3zone-heavy26.2%73.8%2.4 pts2,900 player-snaps
111Rice18.5man-heavy30.9%69.1%2.3 pts2,655 player-snaps
112NC State17.8zone-heavy26.3%73.7%2.3 pts3,502 player-snaps
113Memphis17.0man-heavy30.9%69.1%2.2 pts2,726 player-snaps
114Texas16.3zone-heavy26.5%73.5%2.1 pts3,760 player-snaps
115Georgia15.6man-heavy30.7%69.3%2.1 pts3,259 player-snaps
116Kansas State14.8man-heavy30.6%69.4%2.0 pts2,830 player-snaps
117Bowling Green14.1man-heavy30.6%69.4%1.9 pts2,340 player-snaps
118Vanderbilt13.3zone-heavy26.7%73.3%1.9 pts3,229 player-snaps
119Massachusetts12.6zone-heavy26.8%73.2%1.8 pts2,182 player-snaps
120Buffalo11.9zone-heavy26.9%73.1%1.7 pts2,494 player-snaps
121Mississippi State11.1zone-heavy27.3%72.7%1.3 pts3,059 player-snaps
122Florida International10.4man-heavy29.9%70.1%1.3 pts3,102 player-snaps
123Michigan9.6zone-heavy27.3%72.7%1.3 pts2,518 player-snaps
124Texas A&M8.9zone-heavy27.5%72.5%1.1 pts2,649 player-snaps
125UL Monroe8.1zone-heavy27.6%72.4%1.0 pts2,741 player-snaps
126Florida State7.4man-heavy29.6%70.4%0.9 pts2,406 player-snaps
127Utah State6.7man-heavy29.5%70.5%0.9 pts3,320 player-snaps
128Purdue5.9zone-heavy27.8%72.2%0.8 pts2,285 player-snaps
129UConn5.2zone-heavy27.9%72.1%0.7 pts2,506 player-snaps
130Toledo4.4zone-heavy28.0%72.0%0.6 pts2,608 player-snaps
131Missouri3.7man-heavy29.2%70.8%0.6 pts2,970 player-snaps
132UAB3.0zone-heavy28.0%72.0%0.6 pts2,125 player-snaps
133UTEP2.2man-heavy29.0%71.0%0.4 pts2,707 player-snaps
134Oklahoma State1.5man-heavy28.7%71.3%0.1 pts2,656 player-snaps
135Florida Atlantic0.7zone-heavy28.6%71.4%0.0 pts2,716 player-snaps
136Western Michigan0.0man-heavy28.6%71.4%0.0 pts2,709 player-snaps

Methodology and data boundary

These are measured 2025 regular-season splits, not 2026 projections. Player rows show the current 2026 team while preserving the 2025 measured team when it differs. Offense rows describe the 2025 team that generated the routes. Defensive coverage usage sums player coverage snaps, so it is a consistent unit tendency proxy rather than a literal play count. Every ranking is percentile-relative to its qualified population.

Source
PFF 2025 regular-season measurements
Player score
Absolute man-zone YPRR-gap percentile
Offense score
Sample-weighted player gap percentile
Defense score
Distance-from-median percentile
Synthetic rows
None