NFL Model Lab

Public research · Licensed for public useDescriptive only

Players

290 results

Public 2026 Week 1 research board

Team	Opp	State	Score	Pct	Confidence
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	+1.17	100th	83%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+1.14	100th	83%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Cincinnati Bengals	partial	+1.08	99th	51%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	+0.96	99th	83%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.94	99th	79%
New Orleans Saints	Detroit Lions	partial	+0.92	98th	23%
Philadelphia Eagles	Washington Commanders	partial	+0.91	98th	79%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.90	98th	50%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	+0.89	97th	79%
New Orleans Saints	Detroit Lions	partial	+0.88	97th	83%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Cincinnati Bengals	partial	+0.83	97th	57%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.81	96th	63%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.80	96th	60%
Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	partial	+0.75	96th	79%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	+0.73	95th	83%
Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	partial	+0.72	95th	83%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.71	94th	44%
Atlanta Falcons	Pittsburgh Steelers	partial	+0.71	94th	57%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	+0.70	94th	65%
Indianapolis Colts	Baltimore Ravens	partial	+0.66	93th	79%
Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	partial	+0.66	93th	83%
Atlanta Falcons	Pittsburgh Steelers	partial	+0.66	93th	83%
Los Angeles Chargers	Arizona Cardinals	partial	+0.66	92th	79%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	+0.65	92th	62%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	+0.64	92th	83%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	+0.64	91th	83%
Indianapolis Colts	Baltimore Ravens	partial	+0.64	91th	23%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.63	91th	56%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	+0.59	90th	79%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	+0.57	90th	57%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.57	90th	66%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Cincinnati Bengals	partial	+0.56	89th	79%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	+0.55	89th	79%
Los Angeles Chargers	Arizona Cardinals	partial	+0.55	89th	52%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	+0.53	88th	56%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	+0.53	88th	67%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	+0.53	88th	79%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Cincinnati Bengals	partial	+0.52	87th	83%
Philadelphia Eagles	Washington Commanders	partial	+0.51	87th	83%
New Orleans Saints	Detroit Lions	partial	+0.49	87th	67%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	+0.49	86th	57%
Seattle Seahawks	New England Patriots	partial	+0.48	86th	83%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	+0.46	86th	83%
Miami Dolphins	Las Vegas Raiders	partial	+0.46	85th	46%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	+0.46	85th	60%
Minnesota Vikings	Green Bay Packers	partial	+0.45	84th	83%
Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	partial	+0.45	84th	83%
Indianapolis Colts	Baltimore Ravens	partial	+0.45	84th	83%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	+0.44	83th	83%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.43	83th	63%
Chicago Bears	Carolina Panthers	partial	+0.43	83th	83%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	+0.43	82th	79%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	+0.42	82th	55%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	+0.42	82th	79%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.40	81th	57%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	+0.40	81th	60%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	+0.39	81th	57%
Chicago Bears	Carolina Panthers	partial	+0.39	80th	83%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.38	80th	57%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.38	80th	43%
Miami Dolphins	Las Vegas Raiders	partial	+0.37	79th	57%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	+0.37	79th	48%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	+0.37	79th	59%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	+0.36	78th	79%
Los Angeles Chargers	Arizona Cardinals	partial	+0.35	78th	79%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	+0.35	78th	83%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	+0.34	77th	83%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	+0.34	77th	60%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	+0.32	77th	23%
Las Vegas Raiders	Miami Dolphins	partial	+0.32	76th	57%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	+0.31	76th	83%
Atlanta Falcons	Pittsburgh Steelers	partial	+0.30	76th	79%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	+0.30	75th	83%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	+0.29	75th	83%
Las Vegas Raiders	Miami Dolphins	partial	+0.29	74th	67%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	+0.28	74th	54%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Cincinnati Bengals	partial	+0.28	74th	79%
Los Angeles Chargers	Arizona Cardinals	partial	+0.27	73th	79%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	+0.27	73th	63%
Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	partial	+0.27	73th	44%
Los Angeles Chargers	Arizona Cardinals	partial	+0.26	72th	55%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	+0.25	72th	83%
Indianapolis Colts	Baltimore Ravens	partial	+0.25	72th	83%
Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	partial	+0.24	71th	83%
Las Vegas Raiders	Miami Dolphins	partial	+0.24	71th	83%
Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	partial	+0.24	71th	79%
New Orleans Saints	Detroit Lions	partial	+0.24	70th	83%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	+0.23	70th	79%
Minnesota Vikings	Green Bay Packers	partial	+0.22	70th	83%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	+0.22	69th	79%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	+0.22	69th	37%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	+0.22	69th	79%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	+0.21	68th	23%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	+0.20	68th	44%
New Orleans Saints	Detroit Lions	partial	+0.19	68th	61%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	+0.19	67th	28%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	+0.19	67th	23%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	+0.18	67th	83%
Philadelphia Eagles	Washington Commanders	partial	+0.18	66th	79%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	+0.18	66th	63%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.17	66th	67%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	+0.17	65th	66%
New Orleans Saints	Detroit Lions	partial	+0.17	65th	57%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	+0.16	64th	23%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	+0.16	64th	57%
Seattle Seahawks	New England Patriots	partial	+0.16	64th	83%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	+0.15	63th	79%
Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	partial	+0.14	63th	79%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	+0.14	63th	79%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Cincinnati Bengals	partial	+0.14	62th	79%
New Orleans Saints	Detroit Lions	partial	+0.14	62th	46%
Houston Texans	Buffalo Bills	partial	+0.14	62th	83%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.14	61th	49%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	+0.13	61th	79%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	+0.13	61th	49%
Seattle Seahawks	New England Patriots	partial	+0.12	60th	53%
New Orleans Saints	Detroit Lions	partial	+0.12	60th	79%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	+0.12	60th	79%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	+0.12	59th	56%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	+0.11	59th	67%
Minnesota Vikings	Green Bay Packers	partial	+0.11	59th	83%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	+0.11	58th	83%
Los Angeles Chargers	Arizona Cardinals	partial	+0.11	58th	23%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.10	58th	67%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	+0.10	57th	56%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.10	57th	57%
Los Angeles Chargers	Arizona Cardinals	partial	+0.09	57th	83%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.09	56th	37%
Chicago Bears	Carolina Panthers	partial	+0.08	56th	23%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	+0.08	56th	56%
Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	partial	+0.07	55th	79%
Chicago Bears	Carolina Panthers	partial	+0.06	55th	54%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	+0.06	54th	53%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	+0.06	54th	83%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	+0.06	54th	79%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	+0.05	53th	79%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	+0.05	53th	83%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	+0.04	53th	79%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	+0.04	52th	63%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	+0.03	52th	83%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	+0.03	52th	83%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	+0.03	51th	79%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Cincinnati Bengals	partial	+0.03	51th	83%
Las Vegas Raiders	Miami Dolphins	partial	+0.02	51th	83%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	+0.02	50th	79%
Philadelphia Eagles	Washington Commanders	partial	+0.01	50th	57%
Atlanta Falcons	Pittsburgh Steelers	partial	+0.01	50th	50%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	-0.01	49th	48%
Minnesota Vikings	Green Bay Packers	partial	-0.01	49th	46%
Houston Texans	Buffalo Bills	partial	-0.01	49th	79%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	-0.01	48th	79%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	-0.02	48th	57%
Philadelphia Eagles	Washington Commanders	partial	-0.02	48th	42%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.02	47th	83%
Indianapolis Colts	Baltimore Ravens	partial	-0.03	47th	57%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	-0.03	47th	65%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	-0.03	46th	67%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	-0.04	46th	79%
Chicago Bears	Carolina Panthers	partial	-0.05	46th	79%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	-0.05	45th	83%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	-0.05	45th	34%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	-0.06	44th	83%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	-0.06	44th	79%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.07	44th	54%
Atlanta Falcons	Pittsburgh Steelers	partial	-0.07	43th	79%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	-0.07	43th	57%
Chicago Bears	Carolina Panthers	partial	-0.09	43th	83%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	-0.09	42th	62%
Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	partial	-0.09	42th	83%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	-0.10	42th	46%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	-0.11	41th	56%
Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	partial	-0.11	41th	67%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	-0.12	41th	67%
Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	partial	-0.12	40th	57%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	-0.12	40th	51%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	-0.12	40th	54%
Miami Dolphins	Las Vegas Raiders	partial	-0.12	39th	54%
Seattle Seahawks	New England Patriots	partial	-0.13	39th	79%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-0.13	39th	83%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	-0.13	38th	79%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	-0.14	38th	67%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	-0.14	38th	83%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.15	37th	83%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	-0.15	37th	63%
Minnesota Vikings	Green Bay Packers	partial	-0.16	37th	52%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.17	36th	67%
Seattle Seahawks	New England Patriots	partial	-0.17	36th	54%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.17	36th	23%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	-0.17	35th	79%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	-0.18	35th	23%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	-0.18	34th	39%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	-0.18	34th	79%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	-0.19	34th	53%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	-0.19	33th	56%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	-0.20	33th	23%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-0.21	33th	43%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	-0.21	32th	57%
Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	partial	-0.21	32th	61%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	-0.22	32th	57%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	-0.23	31th	79%
Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	partial	-0.24	31th	43%
Seattle Seahawks	New England Patriots	partial	-0.25	31th	83%
New York Giants	Dallas Cowboys	partial	-0.25	30th	41%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	-0.25	30th	57%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	-0.25	30th	63%
Tennessee Titans	New York Jets	partial	-0.26	29th	23%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	-0.26	29th	43%
Houston Texans	Buffalo Bills	partial	-0.26	29th	79%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	-0.27	28th	50%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.27	28th	59%
Houston Texans	Buffalo Bills	partial	-0.27	28th	83%
Atlanta Falcons	Pittsburgh Steelers	partial	-0.28	27th	23%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	-0.28	27th	56%
Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	partial	-0.28	27th	45%
Cincinnati Bengals	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	partial	-0.29	26th	54%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	-0.30	26th	23%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	-0.30	26th	62%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	-0.30	25th	57%
Las Vegas Raiders	Miami Dolphins	partial	-0.30	25th	79%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	-0.31	24th	61%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	-0.31	24th	57%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	-0.32	24th	83%
Atlanta Falcons	Pittsburgh Steelers	partial	-0.36	23th	38%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	-0.36	23th	60%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	-0.36	23th	23%
Dallas Cowboys	New York Giants	partial	-0.37	22th	51%
Denver Broncos	Kansas City Chiefs	partial	-0.40	22th	45%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	-0.41	22th	54%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-0.41	21th	56%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	-0.43	21th	67%
Miami Dolphins	Las Vegas Raiders	partial	-0.43	21th	43%
Atlanta Falcons	Pittsburgh Steelers	partial	-0.43	20th	43%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	-0.44	20th	51%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.44	20th	79%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.45	19th	49%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	-0.46	19th	64%
Kansas City Chiefs	Denver Broncos	partial	-0.47	19th	57%
Houston Texans	Buffalo Bills	partial	-0.47	18th	66%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	-0.47	18th	50%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	-0.49	18th	58%
Miami Dolphins	Las Vegas Raiders	partial	-0.50	17th	83%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	-0.51	17th	60%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.52	17th	52%
Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints	partial	-0.53	16th	50%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.54	16th	49%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.54	16th	23%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	-0.54	15th	57%
Indianapolis Colts	Baltimore Ravens	partial	-0.54	15th	47%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	-0.54	14th	83%
Miami Dolphins	Las Vegas Raiders	partial	-0.55	14th	53%
New York Jets	Tennessee Titans	partial	-0.55	14th	49%
Houston Texans	Buffalo Bills	partial	-0.56	13th	79%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	-0.56	13th	30%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.57	13th	50%
Minnesota Vikings	Green Bay Packers	partial	-0.58	12th	45%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.58	12th	62%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	-0.59	12th	47%
Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers	partial	-0.61	11th	50%
Houston Texans	Buffalo Bills	partial	-0.62	11th	57%
Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	partial	-0.66	11th	48%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.66	10th	47%
Cleveland Browns	Jacksonville Jaguars	partial	-0.66	10th	49%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	-0.66	10th	52%
San Francisco 49ers	Los Angeles Rams	partial	-0.67	9th	39%
Philadelphia Eagles	Washington Commanders	partial	-0.68	9th	45%
Las Vegas Raiders	Miami Dolphins	partial	-0.69	9th	59%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.70	8th	61%
Minnesota Vikings	Green Bay Packers	partial	-0.71	8th	83%
Las Vegas Raiders	Miami Dolphins	partial	-0.73	8th	23%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-0.73	7th	63%
Seattle Seahawks	New England Patriots	partial	-0.75	7th	50%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	-0.77	7th	57%
Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns	partial	-0.78	6th	48%
Miami Dolphins	Las Vegas Raiders	partial	-0.79	6th	43%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.79	6th	37%
Pittsburgh Steelers	Atlanta Falcons	partial	-0.79	5th	53%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-0.80	5th	60%
Chicago Bears	Carolina Panthers	partial	-0.80	4th	57%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-0.81	4th	49%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.82	4th	63%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-0.83	3th	42%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-0.85	3th	41%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-0.86	3th	53%
Houston Texans	Buffalo Bills	partial	-0.95	2th	41%
Arizona Cardinals	Los Angeles Chargers	partial	-0.97	2th	67%
Miami Dolphins	Las Vegas Raiders	partial	-0.97	2th	45%
Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	partial	-1.07	1th	30%
Washington Commanders	Philadelphia Eagles	partial	-1.08	1th	47%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	-1.09	1th	57%
New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	partial	-1.13	0th	67%

Input family availability

Selected result

matchup.receiver_matchupMissingschedule_aligned_matchup_unavailable
opponent.continuity_confidenceAvailableavailable
opponent.team_coverageAvailableavailable
opponent.team_coverage_facedAvailableavailable
opponent.team_receiving_efficiencyAvailableavailable
opponent.team_tendencyAvailableavailable
opponent.team_tendency_variantAvailableavailable
player.coverage_splitAvailableavailable
player.player_efficiencyAvailableavailable
player.player_opportunityAvailableavailable
player.route_separationAvailableavailable
team.continuity_confidenceAvailableavailable
team.team_coverageAvailableavailable
team.team_coverage_facedAvailableavailable
team.team_receiving_efficiencyAvailableavailable
team.team_tendencyAvailableavailable
team.team_tendency_variantAvailableavailable

Selected player

Bam Knight

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

+0.20B · 68th

Component breakdown

Player opportunitypartial; confidence 31%.-1.23Unfavorable

Route separation fitunavailable; confidence 0%.n/aUnavailable

Man / zone fitavailable; confidence 77%.+2.17Favorable

Alignment fitavailable; confidence 77%.-0.51Unfavorable

Team pass environmentavailable; confidence 77%.+0.38Favorable

QB coverage fitunavailable; confidence 0%.n/aUnavailable

RB workload contextavailable; confidence 77%.-0.56Unfavorable

V1 vs V2 score distribution

V1 unavailable · V2 descriptive

Bam Knight: +0.20
Elijah Higgins: +0.11
Emari Demercado: -0.56
Greg Dortch: -0.97
Marvin Harrison Jr.: -0.30
Michael Carter: -0.02
Michael Wilson: -0.25
Trey McBride: +0.53
Xavier Weaver: -0.51
Zay Jones: +0.08
Bijan Robinson: +0.71
Casey Washington: -0.43
Charlie Woerner: +0.01
Darnell Mooney: -0.07
David Sills V: -0.28
Drake London: +0.66
Kyle Pitts: +0.30
Tyler Allgeier: -0.36
Charlie Kolar: -0.24
DeAndre Hopkins: -0.21
Derrick Henry: -0.28
Justice Hill: +0.27
Mark Andrews: +0.24
Rashod Bateman: -0.09
Zay Flowers: +0.72
DJ Moore: +0.34
Dalton Kincaid: +0.37
Dawson Knox: +0.11
Elijah Moore: -0.66
Gabe Davis: -0.01
James Cook: -0.54
Joshua Palmer: -0.18
Keon Coleman: -0.01
Khalil Shakir: +0.18
Ty Johnson: -0.11
Tyrell Shavers: -0.49
Brycen Tremayne: +0.09
Chuba Hubbard: +0.40
Hunter Renfrow: +0.06
Ja'Tavion Sanders: +0.17
Jalen Coker: -0.11
Mitchell Evans: +0.14
Rico Dowdle: +0.10
Tetairoa McMillan: +0.81
Tommy Tremble: +0.10
Xavier Legette: +0.43
Cole Kmet: -0.09
Colston Loveland: +0.43
D'Andre Swift: -0.80
Kyle Monangai: +0.06
Luther Burden III: +0.08
Olamide Zaccheaus: -0.05
Rome Odunze: +0.39
Andrei Iosivas: +0.06
Chase Brown: +0.49
Drew Sample: -0.03
Ja'Marr Chase: +1.17
Mike Gesicki: +0.13
Mitchell Tinsley: -0.29
Noah Fant: +0.70
Samaje Perine: +0.22
Tanner Hudson: +0.13
Tee Higgins: +0.25
Cedric Tillman: -0.18
David Njoku: -0.04
Dylan Sampson: -0.59
Gage Larvadain: -0.66
Harold Fannin Jr.: -0.20
Isaiah Bond: -0.54
Jamari Thrash: -0.47
Jerome Ford: -0.12
Jerry Jeudy: +0.12
Quinshon Judkins: +0.37
CeeDee Lamb: +0.66
George Pickens: +0.75
Jake Ferguson: +0.24
Jalen Tolbert: +0.07
Javonte Williams: -0.12
KaVontae Turpin: +0.45
Luke Schoonmaker: -0.37
Ryan Flournoy: +0.14
Adam Trautman: -0.31
Courtland Sutton: +0.03
Evan Engram: +0.03
J.K. Dobbins: -0.05
Jaylen Waddle: +0.46
Marvin Mims Jr.: -0.36
Pat Bryant: -0.13
RJ Harvey: -0.22
Troy Franklin: +0.22
Tyler Badie: -0.40
Amon-Ra St. Brown: +0.64
Anthony Firkser: -0.10
Brock Wright: -0.53
David Montgomery: -0.27
Isaac TeSlaa: +0.23
Jahmyr Gibbs: -0.21
Jameson Williams: +0.35
Kalif Raymond: -0.30
Sam LaPorta: +0.46
Chris Brooks: -0.79
Christian Watson: +0.02
Dontayvion Wicks: -0.82
Emanuel Wilson: -1.07
Jayden Reed: -0.54
John FitzPatrick: -0.45
Josh Jacobs: -0.07
Luke Musgrave: -0.58
Malik Heath: -0.85
Matthew Golden: -0.44
Tucker Kraft: -0.70
Christian Kirk: -0.27
Dalton Schultz: +0.14
Jayden Higgins: -0.26
Jaylin Noel: -0.47
Nick Chubb: -0.95
Nico Collins: -0.01
Woody Marks: -0.62
Xavier Hutchinson: -0.56
Alec Pierce: +0.66
Jonathan Taylor: -0.03
Josh Downs: +0.45
Michael Pittman Jr.: +0.64
Mo Alie-Cox: -0.54
Tyler Warren: +0.25
Brenton Strange: -0.15
Brian Thomas Jr.: -0.17
Dyami Brown: -0.27
Hunter Long: -0.57
Jakobi Meyers: +0.22
Johnny Mundt: -0.66
LeQuint Allen: -0.78
Parker Washington: -0.02
Tim Patrick: -0.52
Travis Etienne Jr.: -0.54
Travis Hunter: -0.17
Brashard Smith: -0.18
Isiah Pacheco: -0.41
JuJu Smith-Schuster: +0.06
Kareem Hunt: -0.47
Kenneth Walker III: +0.16
Marquise Brown: -0.05
Noah Gray: -0.43
Rashee Rice: +0.73
Travis Kelce: +0.31
Tyquan Thornton: -0.15
Xavier Worthy: -0.06
Ashton Jeanty: +0.32
Brock Bowers: +0.24
Dont'e Thornton Jr.: -0.73
Jack Bech: -0.69
Michael Mayer: +0.29
Tre Tucker: +0.02
Tyler Lockett: -0.30
Keenan Allen: +0.66
Kimani Vidal: +0.26
Ladd McConkey: +0.27
Omarion Hampton: +0.55
Oronde Gadsden II: +0.11
Quentin Johnston: +0.35
Tre Harris: +0.09
Blake Corum: +0.19
Colby Parkinson: +0.15
Davante Adams: +0.89
Davis Allen: +0.18
Jordan Whittington: +0.17
Konata Mumpfield: -0.30
Kyren Williams: +0.57
Puka Nacua: +0.96
Terrance Ferguson: -0.19
Tutu Atwell: -0.44
Tyler Higbee: +0.65
Xavier Smith: -0.61
Darren Waller: -0.12
De'Von Achane: +0.37
Greg Dulcich: -0.55
Julian Hill: -0.97
Malik Washington: -0.50
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine: -0.79
Tanner Conner: -0.43
Tyreek Hill: +0.46
Aaron Jones: -0.16
Jalen Nailor: -0.71
Jordan Addison: +0.22
Jordan Mason: -0.01
Josh Oliver: -0.58
Justin Jefferson: +0.45
T.J. Hockenson: +0.11
A.J. Brown: -0.28
Austin Hooper: -0.46
Demario Douglas: -1.13
Hunter Henry: +0.30
Kayshon Boutte: +0.05
Kyle Williams: -1.09
Mack Hollins: +0.14
Rhamondre Stevenson: -0.77
Romeo Doubs: +0.10
Stefon Diggs: +0.05
TreVeyon Henderson: -0.07
Alvin Kamara: +0.17
Brandin Cooks: +0.49
Chris Olave: +0.88
Devaughn Vele: +0.12
Devin Neal: +0.14
Juwan Johnson: +0.24
Kevin Austin Jr.: +0.92
Mason Tipton: +0.19
Cam Skattebo: +0.71
Daniel Bellinger: +0.57
Darius Slayton: +0.94
Devin Singletary: -0.25
Isaiah Hodgins: +0.80
Isaiah Likely: +0.63
Jalin Hyatt: +0.38
Malik Nabers: +0.90
Theo Johnson: +0.34
Tyrone Tracy: +0.38
Wan'Dale Robinson: +1.14
Adonai Mitchell: +0.36
Allen Lazard: -0.19
Arian Smith: -0.17
Breece Hall: -0.31
Garrett Wilson: +0.27
Isaiah Davis: -0.55
Isaiah Williams: -0.12
Jeremy Ruckert: -0.09
John Metchie III: +0.32
Josh Reynolds: +0.42
Mason Taylor: +0.29
Tyler Johnson: +0.28
Dallas Goedert: +0.51
Darius Cooper: -0.02
DeVonta Smith: +0.91
Grant Calcaterra: -0.68
Jahan Dotson: +0.18
Saquon Barkley: +0.01
Adam Thielen: -0.14
Calvin Austin III: +0.21
D.K. Metcalf: +0.64
Darnell Washington: -0.36
Jaylen Warren: -0.66
Jonnu Smith: -0.32
Kenneth Gainwell: -0.25
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: +0.04
Pat Freiermuth: -0.06
Roman Wilson: -0.79
Scott Miller: -0.26
Christian McCaffrey: +0.39
Deebo Samuel: +0.40
Demarcus Robinson: +0.43
George Kittle: +0.44
Jake Tonges: -0.03
Jauan Jennings: +0.53
Kendrick Bourne: +0.55
Luke Farrell: -0.67
Mike Evans: +0.53
Ricky Pearsall: +0.59
AJ Barner: +0.16
Cooper Kupp: -0.25
Elijah Arroyo: -0.17
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: +0.48
Rashid Shaheed: -0.13
Tory Horton: -0.75
Zach Charbonnet: +0.12
Bucky Irving: +1.08
Cade Otton: +0.52
Chris Godwin: +0.28
Emeka Egbuka: +0.56
Rachaad White: +0.83
Sterling Shepard: +0.14
Tez Johnson: +0.03
Calvin Ridley: -0.12
Chigoziem Okonkwo: +0.19
Chimere Dike: -0.14
Elic Ayomanor: +0.04
Gunnar Helm: +0.03
James Proche II: -0.26
Tony Pollard: +0.16
Tyjae Spears: +0.12
Van Jefferson: -0.23
Ben Sinnott: -1.08
Chris Moore: -0.73
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: -0.83
Jaylin Lane: -0.80
Jeremy McNichols: -0.86
John Bates: -0.81
Luke McCaffrey: -0.21
Terry McLaurin: +0.42
Treylon Burks: -0.41
Zach Ertz: -0.13

Projection versus baseline

unavailable

Validation history is unavailable; no projection interval is published.

Missing inputs & provenance

Missing inputs

matchup__qb_coverage_matchup__matchup__exp_fp_db
matchup__qb_coverage_matchup__matchup__fp_db
matchup__wr_coverage_matchup__matchup__exp_fp_rte
player__receiving_advanced__receiving__tgt_pct
player__receiving_route_share__route_share__tm_rte_pct
player__receiving_target_share__target_share__tm_tgt_pct
schedule_aligned_matchup

Validation: descriptive_only
Rights: Licensed for public use
Seasons: 2025 inputs · 2026 Week 1
Captured: 2026-09-01T16:41:44.409090+00:00
Feature set: cb3c38d90db1

Ablation lift

Validation history is unavailable. Scores are descriptive only.

Calibration

Validation history is unavailable. Scores are descriptive only.