Sacramento State Hornets at Eastern Michigan Eagles college football matchup
- Kickoff
- Sat, Aug 29
- 6:30 PM EDT
- Venue
- Eastern Michigan home
- Rynearson Stadium
- Captured market
- EMU -8.5
- DraftKings · Aug 11, 10:09 PM EDT
- Player model
- 8 players
- preseason · cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
Eastern Michigan carries the early number into Rynearson Stadium.
Sacramento State travels to Eastern Michigan at Rynearson Stadium. The captured market lists Eastern Michigan as a 8.5-point favorite. That number came from DraftKings and is a dated snapshot, not a live quote.
The published player model covers 8 featured skill players in this matchup. Its highest median fantasy forecasts belong to Noah Kim (EMU), Nick Devereaux (EMU), and Harold Mack (EMU).
Market frame
Eastern Michigan is the captured favorite by 8.5; recheck the number before using it.
Player projection coverage
8 player distributions are available, led by Noah Kim (EMU).
Venue context
Eastern Michigan is the designated home team at Rynearson Stadium.
cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1 · preseason
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00DraftKings snapshot
As of 2026-08-12T02:09:50ZPreseason model
As of 2026-08-13T21:34:55+00:00How the game actually moved
Observed play, drive, passing, and efficiency views from one pinned cfbfastR generation. Pregame projections above and below remain frozen in their own model lane.
(14:23) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SAC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:20 #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt good (H: #39 D.Hull, LS: #42 J.Kautz)
| Play | Quarter | Clock | Away score | Home score | Home win probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0 | 0 | 74% |
| 1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0 | 0 | 71% |
| 2 | 1 | 14:56 | 0 | 0 | 70% |
| 3 | 1 | 14:46 | 0 | 0 | 74% |
| 4 | 1 | 14:07 | 0 | 0 | 71% |
| 5 | 1 | 13:39 | 0 | 0 | 70% |
| 6 | 1 | 13:03 | 0 | 0 | 71% |
| 7 | 1 | 12:32 | 0 | 0 | 71% |
| 8 | 1 | 12:24 | 0 | 0 | 69% |
| 9 | 1 | 11:51 | 0 | 0 | 71% |
| 10 | 1 | 11:11 | 0 | 0 | 75% |
| 11 | 1 | 10:29 | 0 | 0 | 71% |
| 12 | 1 | 10:22 | 0 | 0 | 70% |
| 13 | 1 | 10:29 | 0 | 0 | 75% |
| 14 | 1 | 9:43 | 0 | 0 | 69% |
| 15 | 1 | 9:36 | 0 | 0 | 68% |
| 16 | 1 | 9:43 | 0 | 0 | 69% |
| 17 | 1 | 9:27 | 0 | 0 | 69% |
| 18 | 1 | 9:23 | 0 | 0 | 71% |
| 19 | 1 | 9:20 | 0 | 0 | 73% |
| 20 | 1 | 9:15 | 0 | 0 | 76% |
| 21 | 1 | 9:08 | 0 | 0 | 72% |
| 22 | 1 | 8:58 | 0 | 0 | 70% |
| 23 | 1 | 9:08 | 0 | 0 | 75% |
| 24 | 1 | 8:25 | 0 | 0 | 69% |
| 25 | 1 | 7:40 | 0 | 0 | 68% |
| 26 | 1 | 7:10 | 0 | 0 | 69% |
| 27 | 1 | 7:40 | 0 | 0 | 69% |
| 28 | 1 | 7:04 | 0 | 0 | 70% |
| 29 | 1 | 6:35 | 0 | 0 | 72% |
| 30 | 1 | 6:10 | 0 | 0 | 74% |
| 31 | 1 | 6:02 | 0 | 0 | 76% |
| 32 | 1 | 5:56 | 0 | 0 | 76% |
| 33 | 1 | 5:48 | 0 | 0 | 77% |
| 34 | 1 | 5:11 | 0 | 0 | 75% |
| 35 | 1 | 5:03 | 0 | 0 | 68% |
| 36 | 1 | 4:45 | 0 | 0 | 68% |
| 37 | 1 | 4:14 | 0 | 0 | 73% |
| 38 | 1 | 3:36 | 0 | 0 | 74% |
| 39 | 1 | 3:29 | 0 | 0 | 76% |
| 40 | 1 | 3:21 | 0 | 0 | 77% |
| 41 | 1 | 2:41 | 0 | 0 | 79% |
| 42 | 1 | 2:18 | 0 | 0 | 79% |
| 43 | 1 | 2:10 | 0 | 0 | 78% |
| 44 | 1 | 2:18 | 0 | 0 | 66% |
| 45 | 1 | 1:34 | 0 | 0 | 75% |
| 46 | 1 | 0:51 | 0 | 0 | 79% |
| 47 | 1 | 0:04 | 0 | 0 | 82% |
| 49 | 2 | 14:54 | 0 | 0 | 83% |
| 50 | 2 | 14:20 | 0 | 7 | 89% |
| 51 | 2 | 14:20 | 0 | 7 | 88% |
| 52 | 2 | 14:20 | 0 | 7 | 93% |
| 53 | 2 | 14:20 | 0 | 7 | 90% |
| 54 | 2 | 14:10 | 0 | 7 | 90% |
| 55 | 2 | 13:49 | 0 | 7 | 91% |
| 56 | 2 | 13:44 | 0 | 7 | 91% |
| 57 | 2 | 13:37 | 0 | 7 | 90% |
| 58 | 2 | 13:31 | 0 | 7 | 91% |
| 59 | 2 | 13:02 | 0 | 7 | 91% |
| 60 | 2 | 12:51 | 0 | 7 | 89% |
| 61 | 2 | 12:16 | 0 | 7 | 89% |
| 62 | 2 | 12:08 | 0 | 7 | 84% |
| 63 | 2 | 11:56 | 0 | 7 | 85% |
| 64 | 2 | 11:25 | 0 | 7 | 84% |
| 65 | 2 | 10:55 | 0 | 7 | 82% |
| 66 | 2 | 10:11 | 0 | 7 | 85% |
| 67 | 2 | 9:35 | 0 | 7 | 87% |
| 68 | 2 | 9:29 | 0 | 7 | 86% |
| 69 | 2 | 9:24 | 3 | 7 | 81% |
| 70 | 2 | 9:17 | 3 | 7 | 82% |
| 71 | 2 | 9:24 | 3 | 7 | 80% |
| 72 | 2 | 9:15 | 3 | 7 | 82% |
| 73 | 2 | 9:04 | 3 | 7 | 84% |
| 74 | 2 | 8:27 | 3 | 7 | 85% |
| 75 | 2 | 7:50 | 3 | 14 | 91% |
| 76 | 2 | 7:50 | 3 | 14 | 90% |
| 77 | 2 | 7:46 | 3 | 14 | 91% |
| 78 | 2 | 7:43 | 3 | 14 | 93% |
| 79 | 2 | 7:17 | 3 | 14 | 92% |
| 80 | 2 | 6:42 | 3 | 14 | 96% |
| 81 | 2 | 6:32 | 3 | 14 | 96% |
| 82 | 2 | 5:53 | 3 | 14 | 95% |
| 83 | 2 | 5:07 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 84 | 2 | 5:07 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 85 | 2 | 5:03 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 86 | 2 | 4:52 | 3 | 21 | 97% |
| 87 | 2 | 4:36 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 88 | 2 | 3:51 | 3 | 21 | 97% |
| 89 | 2 | 3:14 | 3 | 21 | 97% |
| 90 | 2 | 3:06 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 91 | 2 | 3:00 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 92 | 2 | 2:27 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 93 | 2 | 2:12 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 94 | 2 | 1:50 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 95 | 2 | 2:00 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 96 | 2 | 1:27 | 3 | 21 | 98% |
| 97 | 2 | 0:54 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 98 | 2 | 0:48 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 99 | 2 | 0:40 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 100 | 2 | 0:31 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 101 | 2 | 0:29 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 102 | 2 | 0:33 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 103 | 2 | 0:25 | 10 | 21 | 96% |
| 104 | 2 | 0:13 | 10 | 21 | 96% |
| 105 | 2 | 0:06 | 10 | 21 | 96% |
| 106 | 2 | 0:03 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 107 | 2 | 0:06 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 108 | 2 | 0:01 | 10 | 21 | 91% |
| 110 | 3 | 14:55 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 111 | 3 | 14:42 | 10 | 21 | 91% |
| 112 | 3 | 14:01 | 10 | 21 | 91% |
| 113 | 3 | 13:24 | 10 | 21 | 90% |
| 114 | 3 | 12:54 | 10 | 21 | 90% |
| 115 | 3 | 12:51 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 116 | 3 | 12:40 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 117 | 3 | 11:59 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 118 | 3 | 11:52 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 119 | 3 | 11:59 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 120 | 3 | 11:15 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 121 | 3 | 10:43 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 122 | 3 | 9:55 | 10 | 21 | 95% |
| 123 | 3 | 9:15 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 124 | 3 | 8:42 | 10 | 21 | 95% |
| 125 | 3 | 7:56 | 10 | 21 | 95% |
| 126 | 3 | 7:13 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 127 | 3 | 6:27 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 128 | 3 | 5:51 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 129 | 3 | 5:38 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 130 | 3 | 5:51 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 131 | 3 | 5:01 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 132 | 3 | 5:38 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 133 | 3 | 4:29 | 10 | 21 | 92% |
| 134 | 3 | 3:52 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 135 | 3 | 3:14 | 10 | 21 | 90% |
| 136 | 3 | 2:33 | 10 | 21 | 91% |
| 137 | 3 | 1:57 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 138 | 3 | 1:48 | 10 | 21 | 94% |
| 139 | 3 | 1:13 | 10 | 21 | 96% |
| 140 | 3 | 1:05 | 10 | 21 | 96% |
| 141 | 3 | 0:28 | 10 | 21 | 97% |
| 143 | 4 | 14:50 | 10 | 21 | 97% |
| 144 | 4 | 14:20 | 10 | 21 | 97% |
| 145 | 4 | 13:44 | 10 | 21 | 96% |
| 146 | 4 | 13:43 | 10 | 21 | 98% |
| 147 | 4 | 13:31 | 10 | 28 | 99% |
| 148 | 4 | 13:38 | 10 | 21 | 99% |
| 149 | 4 | 13:31 | 10 | 21 | 93% |
| 150 | 4 | 13:31 | 10 | 28 | 98% |
| 151 | 4 | 13:29 | 10 | 28 | 99% |
| 152 | 4 | 13:16 | 10 | 28 | 99% |
| 153 | 4 | 12:42 | 10 | 28 | 100% |
| 154 | 4 | 12:14 | 10 | 28 | 99% |
| 155 | 4 | 11:40 | 10 | 28 | 98% |
| 156 | 4 | 11:03 | 10 | 28 | 99% |
| 157 | 4 | 11:01 | 10 | 28 | 99% |
| SAC | Metric | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| -0.348 | EPA / play | +0.066 |
| 31% | Success rate | 53% |
| 2% | Explosive rate | 5% |
| -0.402 | Pass EPA / play | +0.023 |
| -0.185 | Rush EPA / play | +0.146 |
| 47% | Completion rate | 72% |
| 7.6 yd | Average depth | 9.6 yd |
| 3.4 yd | YAC / completion | 4.3 yd |
| +18.2 pp | Pass over expected | +15.8 pp |
| -10.5 pp | CPOE | +9.4 pp |
| Passer | Receiver | Air yards | Direction | Outcome | Result yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Kim | Joshua Long | -1 | left | complete | 15 |
| Noah Kim | Joshua Long | -4 | right | complete | -3 |
| Noah Kim | Benson Prosper | 4 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Harold Mack | 1 | middle | complete | 5 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 5 | middle | complete | 8 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 25 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Receiver unavailable | 15 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 5 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 5 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Receiver unavailable | 1 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Benson Prosper | -2 | right | complete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 5 | right | complete | 5 |
| Carson Conklin | Raiden Brown | 6 | right | complete | 6 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 20 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 15 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Joshua Long | 4 | middle | complete | 6 |
| Noah Kim | Receiver unavailable | 15 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Santonyo Isaac | 38 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 16 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Benson Prosper | 17 | middle | complete | 25 |
| Noah Kim | Joshua Long | -2 | right | complete | -1 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 8 | right | complete | 10 |
| Noah Kim | Benson Prosper | 23 | left | complete | 25 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | -3 | left | complete | 3 |
| Carson Conklin | Jordan Williams | 2 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Receiver unavailable | 12 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Joshua Long | 3 | left | complete | 10 |
| Noah Kim | Braydon Bennett | -7 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Harold Mack | 20 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Jamar Curtis | 0 | left | complete | 2 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 3 | right | complete | 7 |
| Carson Conklin | Cedric Anton | 7 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 18 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Santonyo Isaac | 34 | right | touchdown | 40 |
| Carson Conklin | Jamar Curtis | -5 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Kenyon Shabazz | 3 | middle | complete | 10 |
| Noah Kim | Benson Prosper | -1 | right | complete | 6 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 6 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 11 | middle | complete | 13 |
| Carson Conklin | Jordan Williams | 3 | left | complete | 6 |
| Carson Conklin | Receiver unavailable | 14 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Benson Prosper | 3 | left | complete | 8 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 42 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Harold Mack | 5 | middle | complete | 9 |
| Noah Kim | Joey Mattord | -5 | right | complete | -1 |
| Noah Kim | Amareon Blue | -4 | right | complete | 7 |
| Noah Kim | Joshua Long | 13 | middle | complete | 17 |
| Noah Kim | Amareon Blue | 4 | middle | complete | 15 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 10 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 13 | middle | complete | 14 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 8 | middle | complete | 10 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 28 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Jordan Williams | 5 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Jordan Williams | 2 | left | complete | 4 |
| Noah Kim | Tanner Lemaster | 9 | left | complete | 10 |
| Noah Kim | Benson Prosper | 8 | right | complete | 11 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 13 | middle | complete | 17 |
| Noah Kim | Benson Prosper | 4 | left | complete | 6 |
| Noah Kim | Cole Powell | -7 | left | complete | -4 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 4 | right | complete | 5 |
| Carson Conklin | Elijah Huddle | 5 | middle | complete | 9 |
| Carson Conklin | Raiden Brown | 1 | middle | complete | 15 |
| Carson Conklin | Kenyon Shabazz | 5 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 4 | middle | complete | 5 |
| Carson Conklin | Raiden Brown | 17 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 6 | left | complete | 6 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 20 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Noah Kim | Nick Devereaux | 30 | right | touchdown | 31 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 18 | middle | complete | 20 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 3 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
- Complete
- Touchdown
- Incomplete
- Interception
Unit ledger
Every bar rewards the better low-number rank, while exact values stay visible for both teams.
Where the player model concentrates
The two highest median model players for each side. Context-only prior and baseline rows are excluded.
Sacramento State
Eastern Michigan
League projected stat lines
Means and 20th–80th percentile ranges for every published model player; missing stats stay missing.
Sacramento State
1 League projection| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan WilliamsELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 5.61.7–9.5 | — | — | — | 257–42 |
Eastern Michigan
7 League projections| Player | Pos | Fantasy pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Receptions | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah KimVOLATILE · Tier 4 | QB | 19.37.1–26.8 | 238154–291 | — | — | — |
| Nick DevereauxELITE · Tier 6 | WR | 12.03.8–19.3 | — | — | 3.31.0–5.1 | 5015–73 |
| Harold MackSAFE FLOOR · Tier 6 | WR | 10.83.4–18.8 | — | — | 3.71.0–5.5 | 5014–80 |
| Braydon BennettHIGH CEILING · Tier 6 | RB | 11.92.9–19.6 | — | 4812–73 | — | — |
| Joshua LongELITE · Tier 5 | TE | 8.02.4–11.0 | — | — | 2.91.0–4.6 | 3710–60 |
| Tanner Lemasterbalanced · Tier 5 | TE | 6.21.9–9.7 | — | — | 2.41.0–3.3 | 278–45 |
| Mekhi FoxVOLATILE · Tier 6 | WR | 6.11.6–9.4 | — | — | — | 278–41 |
Sacramento State
- Rec yds
- 25
Eastern Michigan
- Pass yds
- 238
- Receptions
- 3.3
- Rec yds
- 50
- Receptions
- 3.7
- Rec yds
- 50
- Rush yds
- 48
- Receptions
- 2.9
- Rec yds
- 37
- Receptions
- 2.4
- Rec yds
- 27
- Rec yds
- 27
The League does not publish a game-side, total, or moneyline prediction without a validated game-market model.
Generated Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT · collegefootballdata · Player outcomes are ranges, not guarantees. No game-side, total, or moneyline prediction is inferred.
Props to compare after a line posts
Model ranges are not recommendations. No player-prop line or price is captured in this artifact.
| Player | Market | Projection | Median | 20th–80th | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah KimQB · EMU | Passing yards | 238.3 | 237.8 | 154.1–290.7 | Shop the line |
| Nick DevereauxWR · EMU | Receiving yards | 50.0 | 34.8 | 14.7–73.0 | Shop the line |
| Harold MackWR · EMU | Receiving yards | 50.0 | 38.3 | 14.2–79.8 | Shop the line |
| Braydon BennettRB · EMU | Rushing yards | 47.5 | 42.1 | 11.8–73.2 | Shop the line |
| Joshua LongTE · EMU | Receiving yards | 37.0 | 27.8 | 10.2–59.9 | Shop the line |
| Tanner LemasterTE · EMU | Receiving yards | 27.4 | 21.2 | 7.7–44.5 | Shop the line |
Passing yards
- Projection
- 238.3
- Median
- 237.8
- 20th–80th
- 154.1–290.7
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 50.0
- Median
- 34.8
- 20th–80th
- 14.7–73.0
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 50.0
- Median
- 38.3
- 20th–80th
- 14.2–79.8
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Rushing yards
- Projection
- 47.5
- Median
- 42.1
- 20th–80th
- 11.8–73.2
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 37.0
- Median
- 27.8
- 20th–80th
- 10.2–59.9
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Receiving yards
- Projection
- 27.4
- Median
- 21.2
- 20th–80th
- 7.7–44.5
- Status
- Shop the line
No captured player-prop line. Compare the model range only after a market posts.
Methodology and data boundary
Schedule and venue facts come from the committed ESPN 2026 catalog. Spreads are dated market snapshots, prioritizing DraftKings where available. Player stat lines and fantasy ranges come only from the versioned weekly CFB quantile model; prior and baseline context do not enter that forecast lane. When present, completed-game play, drive, EPA, win-probability, CPOE, and xPass views come from a separately pinned cfbfastR/SportsDataverse snapshot and are postgame descriptions only. Missing data stays missing.
- Line snapshot
- Aug 11, 10:11 PM EDT
- Model update
- Aug 13, 5:34 PM EDT
- Observed layer
- Aug 30, 4:30 PM EDT
- Game prediction
- Not validated