NFL research desk · man versus zone
Find who changes when the coverage changes.
Rank qualified players and offenses by their measured man-zone receiving split, then locate the defenses farthest from the league’s median coverage mix.
Research desk2025 measured splits · 2026 roster context
01 · player dependence
165of 165Largest man-zone production gaps
Qualified receiving players ranked by the absolute difference in yards per route run.
| Rank | Player | Team | Score | Better vs | Man YPRR | Zone YPRR | Gap | Routes M/Z |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Demario DouglasWR | New England Patriots | 100.0 | man | 4.07 | 1.38 | 2.69 | 56/149 |
| 2 | Tucker KraftTE | Green Bay Packers | 99.4 | man | 4.25 | 1.75 | 2.50 | 63/117 |
| 3 | Rashee RiceWR | Kansas City Chiefs | 98.8 | zone | 0.82 | 3.24 | 2.42 | 75/150 |
| 4 | Rhamondre StevensonRB | New England Patriots | 98.2 | man | 3.21 | 0.83 | 2.38 | 61/172 |
| 5 | Terry McLaurinWR | Washington Commanders | 97.6 | zone | 0.83 | 3.08 | 2.25 | 71/165 |
| 6 | Drake LondonWR | Atlanta Falcons | 97.0 | zone | 1.11 | 3.25 | 2.14 | 96/237 |
| 7 | D'Andre SwiftRB | Chicago Bears | 96.3 | man | 2.87 | 0.74 | 2.13 | 52/196 |
| 8 | Noah FantTE | Cincinnati Bengals | 95.7 | zone | 0.24 | 2.02 | 1.78 | 50/136 |
| 9 | Emeka EgbukaWR | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 95.1 | zone | 0.78 | 2.40 | 1.62 | 123/345 |
| 10 | Jalen CokerWR | Carolina Panthers | 94.5 | man | 2.63 | 1.04 | 1.59 | 65/188 |
| 11 | Isaiah BondWR | Cleveland Browns | 93.9 | man | 2.10 | 0.53 | 1.57 | 105/207 |
| 12 | Chuba HubbardRB | Carolina Panthers | 93.3 | zone | -0.03 | 1.44 | 1.47 | 40/151 |
| 13 | Sam LaPortaTE | Detroit Lions | 92.7 | zone | 1.02 | 2.45 | 1.43 | 47/174 |
| 14 | Jaylen WaddleWR | Denver Broncos | 92.1 | zone | 1.39 | 2.80 | 1.41 | 67/289 |
| 15 | JuJu Smith-SchusterWR | Kansas City Chiefs | 91.5 | zone | 0.30 | 1.68 | 1.38 | 120/176 |
| 16 | Chris MooreWR | Washington Commanders | 90.9 | man | 1.98 | 0.62 | 1.36 | 58/143 |
| 17 | Jaylin NoelWR | Houston Texans | 90.2 | zone | 0.67 | 2.02 | 1.35 | 60/123 |
| 18 | Tyler WarrenTE | Indianapolis Colts | 89.6 | zone | 0.72 | 2.04 | 1.32 | 102/356 |
| 19 | Bijan RobinsonRB | Atlanta Falcons | 89.0 | zone | 1.11 | 2.41 | 1.30 | 101/283 |
| 20 | Courtland SuttonWR | Denver Broncos | 88.4 | man | 2.97 | 1.70 | 1.27 | 91/419 |
| 21 | George PickensWR | Dallas Cowboys | 87.8 | man | 3.43 | 2.19 | 1.24 | 158/397 |
| 22 | Jalen NailorWR | Minnesota Vikings | 87.2 | man | 2.07 | 0.83 | 1.24 | 110/232 |
| 23 | Zach ErtzTE | Washington Commanders | 86.6 | zone | 0.69 | 1.92 | 1.23 | 104/211 |
| 24 | Mason TaylorTE | New York Jets | 86.0 | zone | 0.22 | 1.39 | 1.17 | 71/244 |
| 25 | Dawson KnoxTE | Buffalo Bills | 85.4 | zone | 0.74 | 1.89 | 1.15 | 94/179 |
| 26 | Davante AdamsWR | Los Angeles Rams | 84.5 | zone | 1.43 | 2.52 | 1.09 | 135/231 |
| 27 | T.J. HockensonTE | Minnesota Vikings | 84.5 | zone | 0.45 | 1.54 | 1.09 | 105/239 |
| 28 | Ja'Marr ChaseWR | Cincinnati Bengals | 83.5 | zone | 1.57 | 2.63 | 1.06 | 174/412 |
| 29 | James CookRB | Buffalo Bills | 82.9 | man | 1.85 | 0.81 | 1.04 | 64/145 |
| 30 | Garrett WilsonWR | New York Jets | 82.3 | man | 2.63 | 1.59 | 1.04 | 43/169 |
| 31 | Daniel BellingerTE | New York Giants | 81.7 | zone | 0.82 | 1.85 | 1.03 | 58/122 |
| 32 | Ryan FlournoyWR | Dallas Cowboys | 81.1 | man | 2.65 | 1.63 | 1.02 | 78/158 |
| 33 | Pat FreiermuthTE | Pittsburgh Steelers | 80.5 | zone | 0.99 | 2.01 | 1.02 | 94/181 |
| 34 | Rachaad WhiteRB | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 79.9 | zone | 0.08 | 1.08 | 1.00 | 85/180 |
| 35 | Isaac TeSlaaWR | Detroit Lions | 79.0 | zone | 0.15 | 1.14 | 0.99 | 80/176 |
| 36 | Kendrick BourneWR | San Francisco 49ers | 79.0 | zone | 0.91 | 1.90 | 0.99 | 75/242 |
| 37 | Dalton SchultzTE | Houston Texans | 78.0 | zone | 1.04 | 2.02 | 0.98 | 125/311 |
| 38 | Darius SlaytonWR | New York Giants | 77.4 | zone | 0.74 | 1.71 | 0.97 | 108/260 |
| 39 | Saquon BarkleyRB | Philadelphia Eagles | 76.8 | man | 1.75 | 0.79 | 0.96 | 67/193 |
| 40 | A.J. BrownWR | New England Patriots | 76.2 | man | 2.97 | 2.02 | 0.95 | 112/324 |
| 41 | D.K. MetcalfWR | Pittsburgh Steelers | 75.3 | zone | 1.46 | 2.40 | 0.94 | 119/276 |
| 42 | Ty JohnsonRB | Buffalo Bills | 75.3 | zone | 0.73 | 1.67 | 0.94 | 63/127 |
| 43 | Christian McCaffreyRB | San Francisco 49ers | 74.4 | zone | 1.26 | 2.18 | 0.92 | 93/352 |
| 44 | Travis KelceTE | Kansas City Chiefs | 73.8 | zone | 1.16 | 2.06 | 0.90 | 172/295 |
| 45 | Brandin CooksWR | New Orleans Saints | 73.2 | zone | 0.21 | 1.10 | 0.89 | 80/235 |
| 46 | Jordan AddisonWR | Minnesota Vikings | 72.6 | zone | 0.92 | 1.80 | 0.88 | 101/271 |
| 47 | KaVontae TurpinWR | Dallas Cowboys | 71.6 | zone | 1.11 | 1.97 | 0.86 | 66/160 |
| 48 | Mark AndrewsTE | Baltimore Ravens | 71.6 | man | 1.90 | 1.04 | 0.86 | 116/183 |
| 49 | DeVonta SmithWR | Philadelphia Eagles | 70.7 | zone | 1.42 | 2.27 | 0.85 | 127/355 |
| 50 | Elijah HigginsTE | Arizona Cardinals | 70.1 | zone | 0.39 | 1.24 | 0.85 | 45/224 |
| 51 | Michael WilsonWR | Arizona Cardinals | 69.5 | man | 2.40 | 1.55 | 0.85 | 116/453 |
| 52 | Jordan WhittingtonWR | Los Angeles Rams | 68.9 | zone | 0.34 | 1.18 | 0.84 | 58/127 |
| 53 | Mike GesickiTE | Cincinnati Bengals | 68.3 | zone | 0.73 | 1.55 | 0.82 | 67/163 |
| 54 | Dallas GoedertTE | Philadelphia Eagles | 67.7 | zone | 0.85 | 1.67 | 0.82 | 107/292 |
| 55 | Romeo DoubsWR | New England Patriots | 66.8 | zone | 1.31 | 2.12 | 0.81 | 125/247 |
| 56 | Tee HigginsWR | Cincinnati Bengals | 66.8 | man | 2.33 | 1.52 | 0.81 | 140/341 |
| 57 | Cade OttonTE | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 65.5 | zone | 0.76 | 1.55 | 0.79 | 123/301 |
| 58 | Justin JeffersonWR | Minnesota Vikings | 65.5 | zone | 1.50 | 2.29 | 0.79 | 138/360 |
| 59 | David NjokuTE | Cleveland Browns | 64.6 | zone | 0.64 | 1.40 | 0.76 | 85/162 |
| 60 | Ja'Tavion SandersTE | Carolina Panthers | 64.0 | zone | 0.36 | 1.10 | 0.74 | 50/148 |
02 · offense dependence
32of 32Most coverage-sensitive pass-catching groups
Team score is the percentile of the sample-weighted man-zone YPRR gap across qualifying players.
| Rank | Offense | Score | Better vs | Weighted YPRR gap | Qualified players | Split routes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Commanders | 100.0 | zone | 1.57 | 3 | 752 |
| 2 | Atlanta Falcons | 96.8 | zone | 0.99 | 4 | 1,608 |
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | 93.5 | zone | 0.99 | 4 | 1,556 |
| 4 | Denver Broncos | 90.3 | zone | 0.99 | 5 | 1,860 |
| 5 | New England Patriots | 87.1 | man | 0.91 | 9 | 2,911 |
| 6 | Green Bay Packers | 83.9 | man | 0.88 | 5 | 1,015 |
| 7 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 80.6 | zone | 0.82 | 6 | 1,953 |
| 8 | Dallas Cowboys | 77.4 | man | 0.80 | 7 | 2,408 |
| 9 | Kansas City Chiefs | 74.2 | zone | 0.77 | 8 | 2,287 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Rams | 71.0 | zone | 0.76 | 4 | 1,260 |
| 11 | Cincinnati Bengals | 67.7 | zone | 0.75 | 7 | 2,512 |
| 12 | Arizona Cardinals | 64.5 | zone | 0.72 | 4 | 1,647 |
| 13 | Carolina Panthers | 61.3 | man | 0.72 | 6 | 1,731 |
| 14 | New York Giants | 58.1 | zone | 0.69 | 6 | 1,855 |
| 15 | Chicago Bears | 54.8 | man | 0.69 | 5 | 1,497 |
| 16 | Buffalo Bills | 51.6 | zone | 0.67 | 6 | 1,806 |
| 17 | Indianapolis Colts | 48.4 | zone | 0.67 | 4 | 1,565 |
| 18 | Cleveland Browns | 45.2 | man | 0.67 | 4 | 1,364 |
| 19 | Philadelphia Eagles | 41.9 | zone | 0.64 | 4 | 1,513 |
| 20 | New York Jets | 38.7 | zone | 0.64 | 6 | 1,432 |
| 21 | Houston Texans | 35.5 | zone | 0.61 | 7 | 2,160 |
| 22 | San Francisco 49ers | 32.3 | zone | 0.61 | 8 | 2,498 |
| 23 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 29.0 | zone | 0.61 | 6 | 1,631 |
| 24 | Baltimore Ravens | 25.8 | man | 0.60 | 4 | 1,212 |
| 25 | Los Angeles Chargers | 22.6 | man | 0.59 | 5 | 1,809 |
| 26 | Detroit Lions | 19.4 | zone | 0.51 | 6 | 2,027 |
| 27 | New Orleans Saints | 16.1 | zone | 0.49 | 3 | 1,343 |
| 28 | Miami Dolphins | 12.9 | zone | 0.43 | 2 | 609 |
| 29 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 9.7 | man | 0.30 | 3 | 1,097 |
| 30 | Seattle Seahawks | 6.5 | man | 0.28 | 4 | 1,566 |
| 31 | Tennessee Titans | 3.2 | zone | 0.25 | 5 | 1,504 |
| 32 | Las Vegas Raiders | 0.0 | zone | 0.19 | 5 | 1,745 |
03 · defensive outliers
32of 32Farthest from the man-zone median
Outlier score ranks absolute distance from the sport’s qualified median coverage mix.
| Rank | Defense | Score | Orientation | Man | Zone | From median | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleveland Browns | 100.0 | man-heavy | 39.5% | 59.0% | 15.4 pts | 17 games |
| 2 | Detroit Lions | 96.8 | man-heavy | 38.4% | 59.4% | 14.6 pts | 17 games |
| 3 | New York Giants | 93.5 | man-heavy | 36.2% | 58.3% | 13.6 pts | 17 games |
| 4 | Denver Broncos | 90.3 | man-heavy | 36.1% | 60.7% | 12.6 pts | 17 games |
| 5 | New York Jets | 87.1 | man-heavy | 33.6% | 62.3% | 10.3 pts | 17 games |
| 6 | Baltimore Ravens | 83.9 | man-heavy | 32.9% | 62.2% | 9.9 pts | 17 games |
| 7 | Las Vegas Raiders | 80.6 | zone-heavy | 14.3% | 81.6% | 9.8 pts | 17 games |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 77.4 | man-heavy | 33.1% | 63.7% | 9.5 pts | 17 games |
| 9 | Carolina Panthers | 74.2 | zone-heavy | 16.5% | 79.5% | 7.5 pts | 17 games |
| 10 | Chicago Bears | 71.0 | man-heavy | 29.9% | 64.7% | 6.9 pts | 17 games |
| 11 | Green Bay Packers | 67.7 | zone-heavy | 17.3% | 79.5% | 6.8 pts | 17 games |
| 12 | Indianapolis Colts | 64.5 | man-heavy | 29.2% | 64.1% | 6.6 pts | 17 games |
| 13 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 61.3 | zone-heavy | 18.4% | 78.2% | 5.7 pts | 17 games |
| 14 | Cincinnati Bengals | 58.1 | man-heavy | 29.1% | 66.8% | 5.6 pts | 17 games |
| 15 | Seattle Seahawks | 54.8 | zone-heavy | 18.7% | 77.1% | 5.2 pts | 17 games |
| 16 | Kansas City Chiefs | 51.6 | man-heavy | 28.4% | 67.0% | 5.1 pts | 17 games |
| 17 | Los Angeles Rams | 48.4 | zone-heavy | 18.9% | 76.4% | 4.9 pts | 17 games |
| 18 | Minnesota Vikings | 45.2 | zone-heavy | 19.0% | 75.5% | 4.6 pts | 17 games |
| 19 | Los Angeles Chargers | 41.9 | zone-heavy | 19.2% | 76.1% | 4.6 pts | 17 games |
| 20 | San Francisco 49ers | 38.7 | zone-heavy | 19.4% | 76.3% | 4.4 pts | 17 games |
| 21 | Tennessee Titans | 35.5 | zone-heavy | 19.5% | 75.7% | 4.2 pts | 17 games |
| 22 | New Orleans Saints | 32.3 | zone-heavy | 19.8% | 76.7% | 4.2 pts | 17 games |
| 23 | Arizona Cardinals | 29.0 | zone-heavy | 19.0% | 73.5% | 4.2 pts | 17 games |
| 24 | New England Patriots | 25.8 | man-heavy | 27.9% | 69.5% | 3.9 pts | 17 games |
| 25 | Philadelphia Eagles | 22.6 | man-heavy | 26.9% | 68.7% | 3.4 pts | 17 games |
| 26 | Washington Commanders | 19.4 | man-heavy | 25.9% | 68.2% | 2.8 pts | 17 games |
| 27 | Atlanta Falcons | 16.1 | zone-heavy | 20.9% | 74.6% | 2.8 pts | 17 games |
| 28 | Houston Texans | 12.9 | zone-heavy | 21.1% | 74.4% | 2.6 pts | 17 games |
| 29 | Buffalo Bills | 9.7 | man-heavy | 25.8% | 70.2% | 2.2 pts | 17 games |
| 30 | Dallas Cowboys | 6.5 | zone-heavy | 22.1% | 73.9% | 1.7 pts | 17 games |
| 31 | Miami Dolphins | 1.6 | zone-heavy | 23.8% | 73.0% | 0.1 pts | 17 games |
| 32 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.6 | man-heavy | 24.0% | 72.7% | 0.1 pts | 17 games |
How to read it
Players: absolute man-zone YPRR-gap percentile among 165 qualified players.
Offenses: route-sample-weighted player gap percentile across each current roster group.
Defenses: distance from the 32-team median man share, after excluding unclassified coverage.