Carson Conklin
Sacramento State Hornets- Week 1
- at Eastern Michigan
- Sat, Aug 29 · 6:30 PM EDT
- Blended projection
- Not published
- League model
- Rushing projection
- Not published
- No rushing range for this player-week
- Posted line
- None posted
- No capture names this player
- Best bets
- Not on board
- week 1 board
- Scheme Score
- Not graded
- No graded receiving market
- Season projection
- 169.6
- 11.0 games · Half PPR · 6-pt pass TD
- Position rank
- QB132
- #2207 overall
Availability is not an official reportResearch only, and NOT an official team injury report. Every designation here comes from a licensed depth chart or from a hand-reviewed news item with cited sources, so every row is UNVERIFIED relative to an official report: FBS teams publish no mandatory availability report for this to have been checked against. Each row states what its status rests on and when that source said it. Re-check an official inactives list before acting on any of it.A player who is not in this feed has NO availability source on disk. That is not the same as available, and it must not be rendered as one.4258 designations across 138 teams, from generation rotowire-depth-2026-c7dc3fd2170a, observed 2026-09-02T21:14:31Z.
Week 1: at Eastern Michigan
The blended passing, rushing, and receiving projections with their ranges and posted lines. Scheme Score stays beside the receiving markets it grades, and the player's Charting evidence is stated once.
Blended projection generationmarket snapshot eef1ca41d906 · training generation 7e4ed6004d69 · blended Sep 4, 5:29 PM ET / Sep 4, 2:29 PM PT2027 CFB/projections/2026_wk{week}_quantiles.csv.manifest.json
Scheme Score generationScheme Score 2026 week 1 · from scheme_scores_2026_week_1.json · generated 2026-09-04T21:39:41+00:00. 471 of 896 rows graded across 874 players. Lines as of Sep 4, 4:51 PM ET / Sep 4, 1:51 PM PT, prices withheld, not live.Scheme Score is a matchup grade, not a betting model and not a projection. Early-season grades run on prior-season scheme and personnel evidence, which our own backtesting says is context, not a validated predictor, so read every grade as matchup color rather than a proven advantage. From week 4 the board switches to current-season data; that version has not been separately validated either, so it stays matchup color.
The week 1 projection carries no published stat market, so there is nothing to set beside a posted line.
Sources
No vendor projection joined this week. The served number is the league model alone; neither RW nor FP carries a matched row for Carson Conklin.
Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
No Charting profile could be safely matched to this player.Measured 2025 headline traits, stated once. The complete Charting ledger is further down; the weekly ledger only points back here.
Developmental quarterback ranked 2207th overall and QB132 in the 2026 season model.
- QB132 on the versioned 2026 season board.
- -188.2 value over replacement in the season model.
- 14.7 model points per game across 1 covered games.
- 211.9-point season ceiling versus a 169.6 projection.
- Outcomes remain a distribution; rank and projection are not guarantees.
Week 1 vs Eastern Michigan
League model · stat projection not published
Range ruler and position context
Exact published season bands and ranks. A missing bound stays missing.
2026 outlook, week by week
Every scheduled week with its kickoff, site, range, volume signal, basis, role, sources, and Scheme Score grade. The Charting evidence is stated once in the section above; each row points back to it. A week the grader has not published says so rather than borrowing another week's letter.
| Week | Opponent | Site | Kickoff | Passing yards median | 20th–80th | Volume signal | Basis | Role | Sources | Scheme Score | Charting evidence | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Michigan | Away | Not published | Not published | League model | League model | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 1 | Miss Valley St | Home | 177.8 | 90.3–246.1 | Pass yds 177.8 | League model | n/a | How this projection was builtModel onlyThe model’s own projection, unchanged. A vendor was matched but supplied nothing that met the blend rules for this row. Two independent projection vendors, named apart because they are different companies: RW (identity absent) and FP (identity cfbd_id). Passing yardsvendor weight 0.00
Passing yards is the model's own projection. FP covered the player but supplied nothing that met the blend rules for this target. Rushing yardsvendor weight 0.00
Rushing yards is not published for this player. FP carried a value, shown above for reference, but it did not meet the blend rules, so nothing was served. Blend weight comes from the receiving-role confirmation tier, which this row reads as unavailable. The tier is receiving-role evidence, so a passer or a pure rusher lands outside it and does not blend at the default weights. Shown for Carson Conklin, week 1. | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | |
| 2 | Fresno State | Away | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 3 | North Dakota State | Home | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 4 | Massachusetts | Home | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 6 | Bowling Green | Away | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 7 | Ohio | Home | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 8 | Ball State | Away | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 9 | Kent State | Home | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 10 | Toledo | Home | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 11 | Central Michigan | Away | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup | ||
| 13 | Hawai'i | Away | Not published | Not published | Not published | Schedule only | n/a | Receiving markets Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with. | Charting evidence No Charting evidence | Matchup |
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- League model
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Passing yards
- 177.8
- 20th–80th
- 90.3–246.1
- Volume
- Pass yds 177.8
- Role
- Not graded
How this projection was builtModel only
The model’s own projection, unchanged. A vendor was matched but supplied nothing that met the blend rules for this row.
Two independent projection vendors, named apart because they are different companies: RW (identity absent) and FP (identity cfbd_id).
Passing yardsvendor weight 0.00
- Served projection
- 184.8yards
- Model, before the blend
- 184.8yards
- FP
- 244.0yards
Passing yards is the model's own projection. FP covered the player but supplied nothing that met the blend rules for this target.
Rushing yardsvendor weight 0.00
- FP
- 7.0yards
Rushing yards is not published for this player. FP carried a value, shown above for reference, but it did not meet the blend rules, so nothing was served.
Blend weight comes from the receiving-role confirmation tier, which this row reads as unavailable. The tier is receiving-role evidence, so a passer or a pure rusher lands outside it and does not blend at the default weights.
Shown for Carson Conklin, week 1.
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
- Median
- Not published
- 20th–80th
- Not published
- Volume
- Not published
- Role
- Not graded
Scheme Score
Scheme Score grades receiving yards and receptions only
This projection publishes no receiving yards or receptions, so there is no Scheme Score market to pair it with.Charting evidence
No Charting evidence
2025 position traits and full record
Position-specific traits and written charting notes (pressure, depth, scheme, and alignment splits) lead into every defensible normalized Charting field, with measured window, artifact import, sample, and coverage kept explicit. Missing values remain unpublished.
No Charting profile could be safely matched to this player.
Observed passing and target shape
This opener result is linked by player and team identity. It stays separate from the season and weekly forecast bands so hindsight never rewrites the prediction.
Carson Conklin vs Eastern Michigan
Open game flow- Passing yards
- 137
- Completion
- 0.5%
- Pass EPA / play
- -0.402
| Passer | Receiver | Air yards | Direction | Outcome | Result yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 5 | middle | complete | 8 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 5 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 5 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Receiver unavailable | 1 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Raiden Brown | 6 | right | complete | 6 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 20 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 15 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 16 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | -3 | left | complete | 3 |
| Carson Conklin | Jordan Williams | 2 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Receiver unavailable | 12 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Jamar Curtis | 0 | left | complete | 2 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 3 | right | complete | 7 |
| Carson Conklin | Cedric Anton | 7 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 18 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Jamar Curtis | -5 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Kenyon Shabazz | 3 | middle | complete | 10 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 6 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 11 | middle | complete | 13 |
| Carson Conklin | Jordan Williams | 3 | left | complete | 6 |
| Carson Conklin | Receiver unavailable | 14 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 13 | middle | complete | 14 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 8 | middle | complete | 10 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 28 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Jordan Williams | 5 | left | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Jordan Williams | 2 | left | complete | 4 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 4 | right | complete | 5 |
| Carson Conklin | Elijah Huddle | 5 | middle | complete | 9 |
| Carson Conklin | Raiden Brown | 1 | middle | complete | 15 |
| Carson Conklin | Kenyon Shabazz | 5 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 4 | middle | complete | 5 |
| Carson Conklin | Raiden Brown | 17 | right | incomplete | 0 |
| Carson Conklin | Matt Coleman | 18 | middle | complete | 20 |
| Carson Conklin | Onterrio Smith Jr. | 3 | middle | incomplete | 0 |
- Complete
- Touchdown
- Incomplete
- Interception
| Depth | Direction | Targets | Completions | Yards | EPA per target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| short | left | 9 | 4 | 15 | -0.719 |
| short | middle | 14 | 9 | 104 | 0.1677857142857143 |
| short | right | 9 | 3 | 18 | -0.6357777777777778 |
| deep | left | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.069 |
| deep | middle | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| deep | right | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.621 |
Evidence without blending
Model, historical context, and independent raw stats remain separately labeled from ingestion through display.
2 weekly model forecasts
As of 2026-08-24T23:01:01Z0 labeled context rows
As of 2026-09-04T21:38:52.843849+00:00Unresolved identities remain quarantined
Independent projection169.6 season points
- Season rank
- #2207
- Position rank
- QB132
- Weekly model rows
- 2
- Value over replacement
- -188.2
Season-board and weekly-model results remain distinct; they are never averaged.
2025 · Fresno State
- Passing yards
- 354
- Passing TD
- 1
- Interceptions
- 2
- Rushing yards
- -16
4 games · 354 historical passing yards. Prior production is context, not the 2026 model forecast.
No raw-stat row matched this player, team, and position.
Related QB profiles
Nearby season-board ranks at the same position, with same-team players preferred when available.
Where to go next
This profile connects the player to the best bets board, this week's matchup report, the team report, and the wider player board.
Methodology and data boundary
The current custom half-PPR season board uses six-point passing touchdowns and one point per 20 passing yards. Its season ranks and ranges stay separate from the full-PPR weekly distributions. Posted lines are dated captures shown with their capture count and time; the operator that quoted each number stays in the source record and is never published. Recruiting priors and recent-form baselines are labeled context and excluded from betting-facing model surfaces. Projection source C contributes raw stats only; its scoring points, rank, ownership, and roster fields are excluded. The RW Week 1 projection is displayed as an independent comparison and receives no automatic blend weight. Its retained local file time is disclosure metadata, not provider publication time. Charting grades and charting metrics measure the 2025 season; any embedded League projection context is shown separately. When present, observed Week 1 passing and target views come from a separately pinned cfbfastR/SportsDataverse generation and do not update either projection. No missing range or game prediction is inferred.
- Season model
- custom-fantasy-2026-half_ppr_6pt_td_20pass-usage_aware-5b1c102afd16
- Weekly model
- cfb-fantasy-quantile-2026.1
- Best bets board
- Week 1 · 0 rows here
- Observed update
- Aug 30, 4:30 PM EDT
- RW Week 1
- No resolved row
- Current market rows
- No resolved row