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Scheme Scoreby Nothing But Bet
GlossaryPlayer prop gambling research. Not advice.

Pro footballWeek 1Research only

Las Vegas Raiders

The defense this roster faces, what it allowed by position, every covered pass catcher with the market's number on him, and the evidence under each grade.

Board generated
Aug 28, 12:12 PM EDT
Line captured
2026-09-09
Dated to the day. One capture, so no movement.
Coverage table
2025 season
Prior season. Not a 2026 measurement of anything.

This week: hosting Miami Dolphins. Kickoff and venue are carried by no source on this desk.

Covered players
7
With a posted line
4
Strongest grade
A+
Ungraded
1
WR
4
TE
2
RB
1

The defense opposite

The defense opposite

2025 season

Miami Dolphins on defence, over 17 games. Every percentage below is a share of the same denominator, this defence’s 592 dropbacks, and each one prints the count it came from so it can be checked against the number beside it. The rank is against the other thirty-one teams. None of this is 2026: a coordinator change or a personnel change is not in it.

Coverage and personnel rates
RateShare of dropbacks
Man23.8%141 of 592 dropbacksrank 17 of 32
Zone73%432 of 592 dropbacksrank 16 of 32
Press25.8%153 of 592 dropbacksrank 11 of 32
Disguised39.7%235 of 592 dropbacksrank 7 of 32
Middle of field closed45.3%268 of 592 dropbacksrank 26 of 32
Middle of field open54.7%324 of 592 dropbacksrank 7 of 32
Nickel personnel76.5%453 of 592 dropbacksrank 7 of 32
Base personnel21.1%125 of 592 dropbacksrank 9 of 32
DB heavy personnel1.9%11 of 592 dropbacksrank 25 of 32
Rotates to single high18.2%108 of 592 dropbacksrank 19 of 32
Rotates to two high21.5%127 of 592 dropbacksrank 1 of 32
Splits the safetiesnot reported
Coverage shells
ShellShare of dropbacks
Cover 03.7%22 of 592 dropbacksrank 14 of 32
Cover 116.9%100 of 592 dropbacksrank 17 of 32
Cover 230.6%181 of 592 dropbacksrank 1 of 32
Cover 2 man1.7%10 of 592 dropbacksrank 12 of 32
Cover 328.4%168 of 592 dropbacksrank 21 of 32
Cover 48.1%48 of 592 dropbacksrank 29 of 32
Cover 5not reported
Cover 65.9%35 of 592 dropbacksrank 23 of 32

Cover 5 is reported by neither coverage source for any team, and the split-safety rate arrives as an identical zero for all thirty-two with no count behind it. Both are shown as unreported. Neither is a defence that never plays them.

What that defense allowed, by position

prior season

The allowed totals are a completed prior season: the game counts of 17 to 21 describe a regular season plus playoffs. PFF does not label the season in this export. captured 2026-09-08, before any 2026 game, so the completed season behind these totals is 2025. Recorded as an inference, not as something the file says.

Allowed to pass catchers, prior season
PositionRank allowedPointsPer gameTargetsCatchesYardsTDYards per targetCatch rate
WRT15 of 32322.819over 17 games2641792165178.2on 264 targets67.8%of 264 targets
TE28 of 32169.710over 17 games140108113488.1on 140 targets77.1%of 140 targets
RB26 of 32346.720.4over 17 games948462146.61on 94 targets89.4%of 94 targets
Allowed to the quarterback, prior season
Rank allowedPointsPer gameCompletionsYardsTDInterceptionsYards per attempt
T22 of 32371.921.9over 17 games371of 515 attempts39202997.61on 515 attempts

Rank 32 allowed the most fantasy points to the position and rank 1 allowed the least. A T prefix is a tie. The game counts run past seventeen because they include the playoffs.

Covered players

Grade mix on this roster: A+ 1A 1C 1D 2F 1NG 1. The grade and the score are prior-season evidence; the receiving-yards line and its two prices are this week’s capture. 4 of 7 rows carry a line. A row without one was not quoted, which is not a line of zero.

Las Vegas Raiders hosting Miami Dolphins
PlayerPosGradeScoreRec yds lineOverUnderSourcesWhy the score reads this way
Michael MayerTEA+1.6217.5-114-1145
  • favorable TE funnel vs Miami Dolphins
  • favorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • favorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Brock BowersTEA1.1363.5-121-1103
  • favorable TE funnel vs Miami Dolphins
  • favorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Tre TuckerWRC0.0740.5-115-1154
  • favorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • favorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Ashton JeantyRBD-0.27no line quotedno priceno pricenone
  • unfavorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • favorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Jack BechWRD-0.5615.5-113-1176
  • unfavorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Dont'e Thornton Jr.WRF-0.85no line quotedno priceno pricenone
  • unfavorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Tyler LockettWRNGungradedplayer not matchedno priceno pricenone
  • no scheme evidence for this matchup (no alignment record or opponent signal)
  • ungraded
  • receiver alignment: player name is ambiguous across multiple alignment rows
  • skipped rather than guessed

The evidence under the grades

Receiver evidence

2025 season

The board asserts a coverage lean. This is what it is asserting from: FantasyPoints’s own receiving splits, yards per route run against man and against zone with the routes behind each, the win rate in each, and the share of the offence the receiver held. Prior season, published under a 2026 board, and a rookie or a player who moved has no history to show.

Man and zone production, separation, and share of the offence
PlayerYards per route, manYards per route, zoneWin rate, manWin rate, zoneTarget shareRoute share
Michael Mayer1.49on 53 routes1.66on 148 routes11.3%on 53 routes4.1%on 147 routes12.2%over 13 games44.4%over 13 games
Brock Bowers1.87on 105 routes1.79on 262 routes12.4%on 105 routes3.8%on 262 routes21.7%over 12 games84%over 12 games
Tre Tucker1.19on 160 routes1.32on 378 routes20%on 160 routes7.5%on 375 routes17.5%over 17 games92.2%over 17 games
Ashton Jeanty1.3on 81 routes1.04on 223 routes2.5%on 81 routes0.4%on 223 routesnot reportednot reported
Jack Bech1.4on 53 routes1.26on 119 routes15.4%on 52 routes4.2%on 118 routes5.6%over 16 games31.4%over 16 games
Dont'e Thornton Jr.1.17on 64 routes0.39on 155 routes10.9%on 64 routes6.5%on 155 routes6.8%over 15 games43.1%over 15 games
Tyler Lockettno source matches this player by name and team, so nothing keyed on a player id is attached

Where the fixture comes from. Who hosts is not in the Scheme Score export. It is read from the prop capture, which marks an away team, and cross-checked against the FantasyPoints matchup cards, which title themselves the same way. The two agree on 16 of 16 games. Neither source carries a venue, so none is shown.

Where the price comes from. From one dated prop capture, the same one the Scheme Score export now carries on its own priced rows, so the feed and this page state one answer rather than two. A line here is the consensus across independent sources in that capture, joined to the board by player name and team, and the two prices are the median quote at that line. A row with no line was quoted by nobody in the capture under the name and team the board uses; that is unpriced, not a line of zero. The Sources column says how many sources stood behind a number; it never says which ones, and no operator is named anywhere on this site. The capture is dated 2026-09-09 and is recorded to the day, not to a clock time, so no reader may date it more finely. One capture, so there is no line movement and no closing line.

Availability is not stated here. The 2026 week 1 practice report on this desk carries eleven rows across two of the thirty-two teams, and not one of them states a report status. Official inactives are published in no source here. So these pages say nothing about who plays, and a player appearing on them is not evidence that he will.

Scheme Score is a matchup feature built for player-prop gambling research. It is one input to a betting decision, not a standalone player projection, hit probability, expected value estimate, or stake size. Most rows on this board now carry a grade. The man and zone coverage signal is live: both the man/zone fit and the usage fit legs contribute to a grade, reflecting whether a receiver's style and usage lean toward the coverage this defense plays most. The slot coverage funnel is a direct measurement from PFF's slot coverage report, not an estimate. Some inputs are still missing. Direct TE and RB receiving funnels are not available: tight ends run through the linebacker coverage proxy, and running backs get no receiving funnel signal at all. Defender coverage grades still do not contribute to any grade, because that leg needs each defense's 2026 returning-share data, which does not exist here. The defensive coordinator table is an unfilled stub, so no coordinator discount is applied to any row. A small number of rows stay ungraded because the player name on that row is ambiguous and the grader skips rather than guesses. This board is two tiers. 134 of 290 rows are priced: they carry a posted receiving-yards line from one dated prop capture, joined to the board by player name and team, plus the median over and under price quoted at that line and a count of how many independent sources stood behind it. The other 156 rows carry no line, which means no source in that capture quoted them under the name and team this board uses; that is unpriced, not a line of zero, and it is not a claim that the player will not play. Which operator quoted a number is withheld everywhere in this feed; how many stood behind it is published instead. The capture is recorded to the day and not to a clock time, so no reader may date it more finely, and it is a single capture, so there is no line movement and no closing line here. The line does not enter Scheme Score: the grade is computed from prior-season scheme and usage evidence alone, so a grade is never a projection of the line beside it.