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Scheme Scoreby Nothing But Bet
GlossaryPlayer prop gambling research. Not advice.

Pro footballWeek 1Research only

New York Jets

The defense this roster faces, what it allowed by position, every covered pass catcher with the market's number on him, and the evidence under each grade.

Board generated
Aug 28, 12:12 PM EDT
Line captured
2026-09-09
Dated to the day. One capture, so no movement.
Coverage table
2025 season
Prior season. Not a 2026 measurement of anything.

This week: away at Tennessee Titans. Kickoff and venue are carried by no source on this desk.

Covered players
12
With a posted line
4
Strongest grade
B
Ungraded
2
WR
8
RB
2
TE
2

The defense opposite

The defense opposite

2025 season

Tennessee Titans on defence, over 17 games. Every percentage below is a share of the same denominator, this defence’s 596 dropbacks, and each one prints the count it came from so it can be checked against the number beside it. The rank is against the other thirty-one teams. None of this is 2026: a coordinator change or a personnel change is not in it.

Coverage and personnel rates
RateShare of dropbacks
Man19.5%116 of 596 dropbacksrank 22 of 32
Zone75.7%451 of 596 dropbacksrank 10 of 32
Press30.2%180 of 596 dropbacksrank 6 of 32
Disguised36.2%216 of 596 dropbacksrank 11 of 32
Middle of field closed45.6%272 of 596 dropbacksrank 25 of 32
Middle of field open54.4%324 of 596 dropbacksrank 8 of 32
Nickel personnel73.3%437 of 596 dropbacksrank 13 of 32
Base personnel17.3%103 of 596 dropbacksrank 19 of 32
DB heavy personnel8.9%53 of 596 dropbacksrank 19 of 32
Rotates to single high27.5%164 of 596 dropbacksrank 8 of 32
Rotates to two high8.7%52 of 596 dropbacksrank 21 of 32
Splits the safetiesnot reported
Coverage shells
ShellShare of dropbacks
Cover 02.9%17 of 596 dropbacksrank 21 of 32
Cover 115.4%92 of 596 dropbacksrank 23 of 32
Cover 211.6%69 of 596 dropbacksrank 22 of 32
Cover 2 man1%6 of 596 dropbacksrank 19 of 32
Cover 329.9%178 of 596 dropbacksrank 17 of 32
Cover 422.3%133 of 596 dropbacksrank 3 of 32
Cover 5not reported
Cover 611.9%71 of 596 dropbacksrank 9 of 32

Cover 5 is reported by neither coverage source for any team, and the split-safety rate arrives as an identical zero for all thirty-two with no count behind it. Both are shown as unreported. Neither is a defence that never plays them.

What that defense allowed, by position

prior season

The allowed totals are a completed prior season: the game counts of 17 to 21 describe a regular season plus playoffs. PFF does not label the season in this export. captured 2026-09-08, before any 2026 game, so the completed season behind these totals is 2025. Recorded as an inference, not as something the file says.

Allowed to pass catchers, prior season
PositionRank allowedPointsPer gameTargetsCatchesYardsTDYards per targetCatch rate
WR29 of 32401.923.6over 17 games2962052814189.51on 296 targets69.3%of 296 targets
TE21 of 32148.78.7over 17 games1209294797.89on 120 targets76.7%of 120 targets
RBT21 of 32321.318.9over 17 games745746036.22on 74 targets77%of 74 targets
Allowed to the quarterback, prior season
Rank allowedPointsPer gameCompletionsYardsTDInterceptionsYards per attempt
27 of 32382.0522.5over 17 games354of 514 attempts42213068.21on 514 attempts

Rank 32 allowed the most fantasy points to the position and rank 1 allowed the least. A T prefix is a tie. The game counts run past seventeen because they include the playoffs.

Covered players

Grade mix on this roster: B 1C 5D 4NG 2. The grade and the score are prior-season evidence; the receiving-yards line and its two prices are this week’s capture. 4 of 12 rows carry a line. A row without one was not quoted, which is not a line of zero.

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans
PlayerPosGradeScoreRec yds lineOverUnderSourcesWhy the score reads this way
Tyler JohnsonWRB0.49player not matchedno priceno pricenone
  • favorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • favorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Arian SmithWRC0.11no line quotedno priceno pricenone
  • favorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • favorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Mason TaylorTEC0.0919.5-117-1093
  • mildly unfavorable TE funnel vs Tennessee Titans
  • favorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Isaiah WilliamsWRC0.05no line quotedno priceno pricenone
  • mildly unfavorable slot funnel vs Tennessee Titans
  • favorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • favorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Allen LazardWRC-0.11player not matchedno priceno pricenone
  • unfavorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Jeremy RuckertTEC-0.16no line quotedno priceno pricenone
  • mildly unfavorable TE funnel vs Tennessee Titans
  • favorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • favorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Breece HallRBD-0.2819.5-115-1153
  • unfavorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Josh ReynoldsWRD-0.34player not matchedno priceno pricenone
  • unfavorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Isaiah DavisRBD-0.59no line quotedno priceno pricenone
  • unfavorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Garrett WilsonWRD-0.6361.5-114-1153
  • unfavorable man/zone fit from the receiver's man-vs-zone production split
  • unfavorable usage fit: target share tilts with this defense's coverage mix
Adonai MitchellWRNGungraded32.5-114-1153
  • no scheme evidence for this matchup (no alignment record or opponent signal)
  • ungraded
  • receiver alignment: player name is ambiguous across multiple alignment rows
  • skipped rather than guessed
John Metchie IIIWRNGungradedplayer not matchedno priceno pricenone
  • no scheme evidence for this matchup (no alignment record or opponent signal)
  • ungraded
  • receiver alignment: player name is ambiguous across multiple alignment rows
  • skipped rather than guessed

The evidence under the grades

Receiver evidence

2025 season

The board asserts a coverage lean. This is what it is asserting from: FantasyPoints’s own receiving splits, yards per route run against man and against zone with the routes behind each, the win rate in each, and the share of the offence the receiver held. Prior season, published under a 2026 board, and a rookie or a player who moved has no history to show.

Man and zone production, separation, and share of the offence
PlayerYards per route, manYards per route, zoneWin rate, manWin rate, zoneTarget shareRoute share
Tyler Johnsonno source matches this player by name and team, so nothing keyed on a player id is attached
Arian Smith-0.08on 48 routes0.32on 177 routes12.5%on 48 routes4.5%on 177 routes3.3%over 16 games40.2%over 16 games
Mason Taylor0.22on 72 routes1.39on 251 routes8.5%on 71 routes2.9%on 244 routes17%over 13 games70.9%over 13 games
Isaiah Williams0.69on 54 routes1.08on 145 routes15.1%on 53 routes0.7%on 144 routes8%over 15 games38%over 15 games
Allen Lazardno source matches this player by name and team, so nothing keyed on a player id is attached
Jeremy Ruckert0.55on 29 routes1.16on 140 routes3.4%on 29 routes3%on 135 routes5.7%over 17 games28.3%over 17 games
Breece Hall2.02on 41 routes1.5on 178 routes2.5%on 40 routes0%on 174 routesnot reportednot reported
Josh Reynoldsno source matches this player by name and team, so nothing keyed on a player id is attached
Isaiah Davis1.46on 24 routes1.19on 127 routes0%on 23 routes0.8%on 126 routesnot reportednot reported
Garrett Wilson2.63on 43 routes1.59on 170 routes30.2%on 43 routes8.9%on 169 routes30.4%over 7 games92%over 7 games
Adonai Mitchell1.46on 59 routes1.66on 216 routes24.1%on 58 routes10%on 211 routes14.2%over 16 games48.1%over 16 games
John Metchie IIIno source matches this player by name and team, so nothing keyed on a player id is attached

Where the fixture comes from. Who hosts is not in the Scheme Score export. It is read from the prop capture, which marks an away team, and cross-checked against the FantasyPoints matchup cards, which title themselves the same way. The two agree on 16 of 16 games. Neither source carries a venue, so none is shown.

Where the price comes from. From one dated prop capture, the same one the Scheme Score export now carries on its own priced rows, so the feed and this page state one answer rather than two. A line here is the consensus across independent sources in that capture, joined to the board by player name and team, and the two prices are the median quote at that line. A row with no line was quoted by nobody in the capture under the name and team the board uses; that is unpriced, not a line of zero. The Sources column says how many sources stood behind a number; it never says which ones, and no operator is named anywhere on this site. The capture is dated 2026-09-09 and is recorded to the day, not to a clock time, so no reader may date it more finely. One capture, so there is no line movement and no closing line.

Availability is not stated here. The 2026 week 1 practice report on this desk carries eleven rows across two of the thirty-two teams, and not one of them states a report status. Official inactives are published in no source here. So these pages say nothing about who plays, and a player appearing on them is not evidence that he will.

Scheme Score is a matchup feature built for player-prop gambling research. It is one input to a betting decision, not a standalone player projection, hit probability, expected value estimate, or stake size. Most rows on this board now carry a grade. The man and zone coverage signal is live: both the man/zone fit and the usage fit legs contribute to a grade, reflecting whether a receiver's style and usage lean toward the coverage this defense plays most. The slot coverage funnel is a direct measurement from PFF's slot coverage report, not an estimate. Some inputs are still missing. Direct TE and RB receiving funnels are not available: tight ends run through the linebacker coverage proxy, and running backs get no receiving funnel signal at all. Defender coverage grades still do not contribute to any grade, because that leg needs each defense's 2026 returning-share data, which does not exist here. The defensive coordinator table is an unfilled stub, so no coordinator discount is applied to any row. A small number of rows stay ungraded because the player name on that row is ambiguous and the grader skips rather than guesses. This board is two tiers. 134 of 290 rows are priced: they carry a posted receiving-yards line from one dated prop capture, joined to the board by player name and team, plus the median over and under price quoted at that line and a count of how many independent sources stood behind it. The other 156 rows carry no line, which means no source in that capture quoted them under the name and team this board uses; that is unpriced, not a line of zero, and it is not a claim that the player will not play. Which operator quoted a number is withheld everywhere in this feed; how many stood behind it is published instead. The capture is recorded to the day and not to a clock time, so no reader may date it more finely, and it is a single capture, so there is no line movement and no closing line here. The line does not enter Scheme Score: the grade is computed from prior-season scheme and usage evidence alone, so a grade is never a projection of the line beside it.